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Championship

Referee: Lee Probert

Brentford

T U S U U

1–0

Full-time

Millwall

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Millwall

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Championship · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 18%

27%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

45%

Both score Ø 50%

55%

45%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 7

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 9

1 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brentford 21. · Millwall 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	12	7	3	2	+7	24
2	Wolves	11	7	2	2	+8	23
3	Bristol City	12	5	6	1	+9	21
4	Sheffield United	11	7	0	4	+5	21
5	Leeds	11	6	2	3	+7	20
6	Preston	11	5	5	1	+7	20
7	Aston Villa	10	5	3	2	+7	18
8	Ipswich	10	6	0	4	+4	18
9	Norwich	11	5	3	3	-2	18
10	Fulham	11	4	5	2	+4	17
11	Sheffield Weds	11	4	4	3	+3	16
12	Middlesbrough	10	4	3	3	+4	15
13	Nott'm Forest	11	5	0	6	-4	15
14	Millwall	11	3	4	4	+1	13
15	Derby	10	3	4	3	+0	13
16	QPR	11	3	4	4	-1	13
17	Hull	11	3	3	5	+3	12
18	Barnsley	10	3	2	5	-2	11
19	Birmingham	12	3	2	7	-11	11
20	Burton Albion	12	2	4	6	-17	10
21	Brentford	11	1	6	4	-2	9
22	Reading	10	2	3	5	-3	9
23	Sunderland	11	1	4	6	-9	7
24	Bolton	11	0	2	9	-18	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	6	4	2	0	+8	14
2	Bristol City	6	3	3	0	+7	12
3	Preston	6	3	3	0	+5	12
4	Sheffield United	5	4	0	1	+5	12
5	Ipswich	6	4	0	2	+4	12
6	Leeds	5	3	2	0	+8	11
7	Sheffield Weds	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Aston Villa	5	3	2	0	+4	11
9	QPR	6	3	2	1	+3	11
10	Middlesbrough	6	3	2	1	+3	11
11	Hull	6	3	1	2	+10	10
12	Millwall	6	3	1	2	+3	10
13	Wolves	5	3	1	1	+2	10
14	Birmingham	6	3	1	2	-1	10
15	Nott'm Forest	6	3	0	3	-2	9
16	Norwich	5	2	2	1	+1	8
17	Derby	4	2	1	1	+4	7
18	Barnsley	5	2	1	2	+0	7
19	Burton Albion	6	2	1	3	-7	7
20	Fulham	5	1	3	1	+0	6
21	Reading	5	1	2	2	-1	5
22	Brentford	5	0	4	1	-1	4
23	Sunderland	5	0	1	4	-5	1
24	Bolton	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	6	4	1	1	+6	13
2	Fulham	6	3	2	1	+4	11
3	Cardiff	6	3	1	2	-1	10
4	Norwich	6	3	1	2	-3	10
5	Bristol City	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Sheffield United	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Leeds	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	Preston	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Aston Villa	5	2	1	2	+3	7
10	Ipswich	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Nott'm Forest	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Sunderland	6	1	3	2	-4	6
13	Derby	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Brentford	6	1	2	3	-1	5
15	Sheffield Weds	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Middlesbrough	4	1	1	2	+1	4
17	Barnsley	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Reading	5	1	1	3	-2	4
19	Millwall	5	0	3	2	-2	3
20	Burton Albion	6	0	3	3	-10	3
21	QPR	5	0	2	3	-4	2
22	Hull	5	0	2	3	-7	2
23	Bolton	6	0	2	4	-9	2
24	Birmingham	6	0	1	5	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.