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Premier League

Referee: Andre Marriner

Crystal Palace

T T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Chelsea

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Chelsea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,0

1,7

Conceded

2,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+1,2

This season — Premier League · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

57%

Points per game

0,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 22%

43%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

0,0

1,7

Conceded

2,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-2,4

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

43% Possession 57%

14 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 6

7 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crystal Palace 20. · Chelsea 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	8	6	2	0	+19	20
2	Man City	7	6	1	0	+20	19
3	Tottenham	7	4	2	1	+9	14
4	Chelsea	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Arsenal	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Liverpool	8	3	4	1	+1	13
7	Burnley	7	3	3	1	+2	12
8	Watford	7	3	3	1	-1	12
9	Newcastle	7	3	1	3	+1	10
10	West Brom	7	2	3	2	-2	9
11	Huddersfield	7	2	3	2	-2	9
12	Southampton	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Stoke	7	2	2	3	-4	8
14	Brighton	7	2	1	4	-4	7
15	West Ham	7	2	1	4	-6	7
16	Everton	7	2	1	4	-8	7
17	Leicester	7	1	2	4	-3	5
18	Swansea	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Bournemouth	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Crystal Palace	7	0	0	7	-17	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	4	4	0	0	+14	12
2	Arsenal	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Liverpool	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Man City	3	2	1	0	+10	7
5	Newcastle	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Stoke	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	West Ham	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Brighton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	West Brom	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Everton	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Huddersfield	4	1	2	1	-3	5
12	Chelsea	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Burnley	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Bournemouth	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Southampton	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Leicester	3	1	0	2	+0	3
17	Tottenham	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Watford	3	0	2	1	-6	2
19	Swansea	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Crystal Palace	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Man City	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Watford	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Chelsea	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Man United	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Burnley	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Swansea	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Liverpool	4	1	2	1	-4	5
9	Huddersfield	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Southampton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Newcastle	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	West Brom	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Leicester	4	0	2	2	-3	2
14	Stoke	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Brighton	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Arsenal	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Everton	3	0	1	2	-6	1
18	West Ham	4	0	1	3	-8	1
19	Bournemouth	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Crystal Palace	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.