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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez
Sp Gijon
S T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Gijon Ath Bilbao
Isma López 🟨
16′
Fernando Amorebieta 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Čop
Burgui
50′
2–0 Víctor Rodríguez
Moi Gómez
53′
56′
🔁 Muniain
↦ Susaeta
59′
🟨 Aymeric Laporte
60′
🟨 Eneko Bóveda
Xavi Torres 🔁
↦ Sergio Álvarez
63′
64′
🔁 Viguera
↦ Raúl García
Akram Afif 🔁
↦ Burgui
73′
75′
🟨 Iker Muniain
75′
🔁 Mikel Vesga
↦ San José
Carlos Castro 🔁
↦ D. Čop
84′
86′
Viguera 2–1
Iñaki Williams
Iván Cuéllar 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
5 F. Amorebieta D
16 Lillo Castellano D
4 Jorge Meré D
18 Isma López M
10 Nacho Cases M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
7 Víctor Rodríguez M
23 Moi Gómez M
24 D. Čop F
14 Burgui M
Bench (7)
25 Xavi Torres
17 Akram Afif
9 Carlos Castro
19 Carlos Carmona
13 Diego Mariño
15 Canella
3 J. Babin

Coach: Abelardo

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Iraizoz G
6 San José M
24 Balenziaga D
2 Bóveda D
4 A. Laporte D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
7 Beñat M
18 De Marcos D
20 Aduriz F
11 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
10 Muniain
21 Viguera
12 Mikel Vesga
8 Iturraspe
13 Iago Herrerín
16 Etxeita
5 Eraso

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Clos Gomez · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.