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Serie A
Referee: Luca J Pairetto
Udinese
U T T S S
1–2
Full-time
Chievo
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Chievo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
8 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 8. · Chievo 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Juventus 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Roma 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Lazio 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Genoa 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Sampdoria 4 2 0 2 +0 6
7 Milan 4 2 0 2 -1 6
8 Udinese 3 2 0 1 -1 6
9 Bologna 4 2 0 2 -4 6
10 Chievo 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Pescara 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Inter 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Torino 3 1 0 2 +2 3
14 Fiorentina 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Atalanta 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Empoli 3 1 0 2 -2 3
17 Sassuolo 3 1 0 2 -4 3
18 Cagliari 3 0 1 2 -3 1
19 Palermo 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Crotone 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Chievo
1–0 D. Zapata
E. Hallfreðsson
25′
33′
🟨 Ivan Radovanović
36′
🟨 Boštjan Cesar
Emil Hallfreðsson 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 S. Pellissier
↦ R. Inglese
P. Kone 🔁
↦ E. Hallfreðsson
65′
68′
🔁 A. Floro Flores
↦ R. Meggiorini
74′
🟨 Fabrizio Cacciatore
Lucas Evangelista 🔁
↦ R. de Paul
76′
Panagiotis Kone 🟨
78′
82′
L. Castro 1–1
S. Pellissier
S. Perica 🔁
↦ C. Théréau
87′
Stipe Perica 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 J. de Guzmán
↦ V. Birsa
89′
🟨 Dario Dainelli
95′
F. Cacciatore 1–2
L. Castro
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Udinese

4-3-1-2
1 O. Karnezis G
30 Felipe D
5 Danilo D
7 P. Armero D
2 M. Wagué D
23 E. Hallfreðsson M
26 S. Kums M
8 E. Agyemang-Badu M
10 R. de Paul M
77 C. Théréau F
9 D. Zapata F
Bench (12)
33 P. Kone
95 Lucas Evangelista
18 S. Perica
4 G. Angella
6 S. Fofana
11 A. Peñaranda
14 J. Jankto
19 Ryder Matos
22 S. Scuffet
53 Ali Adnan
75 T. Heurtaux
99 A. Balić

Coach: G. Iachini

Chievo

4-3-1-2
70 S. Sorrentino G
12 B. Cesar D
3 D. Dainelli D
18 M. Gobbi D
29 F. Cacciatore D
23 V. Birsa M
56 P. Hetemaj M
8 I. Radovanović M
19 L. Castro M
69 R. Meggiorini F
45 R. Inglese F
Bench (12)
31 S. Pellissier
83 A. Floro Flores
1 J. de Guzmán
2 N. Spolli
4 N. Rigoni
5 A. Gamberini
13 M. Izco
21 N. Frey
27 V. Parigini
28 S. Bastien
90 A. Seculin
98 A. Confente

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luca J Pairetto · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.