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La Liga
Referee: Inaki Vicandi Garrido
Valencia
S U T T T
2–4
Full-time
Las Palmas
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Corners 1
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Granada 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Villarreal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Alaves 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Osasuna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Celta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Espanol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Sociedad 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Betis 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Apr -16 Las Palmas – Valencia 2–1 21. Nov -15 Valencia – Las Palmas 1–1

Match report

Valencia Las Palmas
1–0 Santi Mina ⚽
Dani Parejo
6′
16′
⚽ M. Livaja 1–1
Míchel
24′
⚽ Jonathan Viera 1–2
Santi Mina 🟨
29′
31′
⚽ K. Boateng 1–3
N. El Zhar
2–3 Santi Mina ⚽
Rúben Vezo
34′
45′
🟨 Kevin-Prince Boateng
Half-time 2–3
S. Mustafi 🔁
↦ Rúben Vezo
46′
60′
🔁 Momo
↦ K. Boateng
62′
🔁 Montoro
↦ Vicente Gómez
Z. Bakkali 🔁
↦ Martín Montoya
67′
Álvaro Medrán 🟨
71′
84′
🔁 S. Araújo
↦ Jonathan Viera
Rafa Mir 🔁
↦ E. Pérez
86′
88′
⚽ M. Livaja 2–4
S. Araújo
90′
🟨 Marko Livaja
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Valencia

4-2-3-1
25 M. Ryan G
23 A. Abdennour D
21 Martín Montoya D
2 João Cancelo D
14 José Gayá D
3 Rúben Vezo D
8 E. Pérez M
10 Dani Parejo M
20 Álvaro Medrán M
9 Paco Alcácer F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
5 S. Mustafi
11 Z. Bakkali
27 Rafa Mir
13 Jaume Doménech
12 Rober Ibáñez
7 Mario Suárez
28 Carlos Soler

Coach: Pako Ayestarán

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
13 Javi Varas
5 David García D
12 Míchel D
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Bigas D
7 K. Boateng M
21 Jonathan Viera M
4 Vicente Gómez M
15 Roque Mesa M
8 N. El Zhar M
9 M. Livaja F
Bench (7)
11 Momo
6 Montoro
10 S. Araújo
1 Raúl Lizoáin
20 Tyronne
16 Aythami Artiles
2 David Simón

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Inaki Vicandi Garrido · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
14,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.