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La Liga
Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo
La Coruna
T U T S U
1–3
Full-time
Las Palmas
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 28%
23%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 54%
65%
42%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
19 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 12. · Las Palmas 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 32 24 4 4 +60 76
2 Ath Madrid 32 23 4 5 +38 73
3 Real Madrid 32 22 6 4 +64 72
4 Villarreal 32 17 9 6 +15 60
5 Celta 32 15 7 10 -7 52
6 Ath Bilbao 32 15 6 11 +10 51
7 Sevilla 32 13 9 10 +6 48
8 Malaga 32 10 11 11 +1 41
9 Sociedad 32 11 8 13 -2 41
10 Eibar 32 10 8 14 -5 38
11 Valencia 32 9 10 13 -3 37
12 La Coruna 31 7 16 8 -4 37
13 Betis 32 9 10 13 -16 37
14 Las Palmas 31 10 6 15 -9 36
15 Espanol 32 10 6 16 -27 36
16 Vallecano 32 7 10 15 -21 31
17 Granada 32 7 9 16 -24 30
18 Sp Gijon 32 7 7 18 -21 28
19 Getafe 32 7 7 18 -28 28
20 Levante 32 6 7 19 -27 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Las Palmas
36′
🟨 Dani Castellano
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Lucas Pérez
Fernando Navarro
47′
58′
S. Araújo 1–1
Momo
F. Fajr 🔁
↦ Cani
64′
69′
🔁 Valerón
↦ Nili
Jonathan Rodríguez 🔁
↦ F. Cartabia
74′
Celso Borges 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 N. El Zhar
↦ Momo
79′
David García 1–2
Aythami Artiles
83′
🔁 Vicente Gómez
↦ Tana
93′
S. Araújo 1–3
N. El Zhar
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

La Coruna

25 Manu
23 Lopo D
3 Fernando Navarro D
12 Sidnei D
6 Cani M
22 C. Borges M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
11 Juanfran D
21 Luis Alberto F
17 F. Cartabia M
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (7)
19 F. Fajr
20 Jonathan Rodríguez
2 Manuel Pablo
4 Álex Bergantiños
9 Oriol Riera
13 S. Pletikosa
15 Laure

Las Palmas

13 Javi Varas
16 Aythami Artiles
5 David García D
23 Dani Castellano D
3 M. Lemos D
11 Momo M
15 Roque Mesa M
29 Nili D
10 S. Araújo M
20 Jonathan Viera M
24 Tana M
Bench (7)
21 Valerón
25 N. El Zhar
4 Vicente Gómez
1 Raúl Lizoáin
2 David Simón
17 Pedro Bigas
18 Ángel Montoro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.