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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Las Palmas
S S S U T
4–0
Full-time
Espanol
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 31%
32%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
44%
59%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 13. · Espanol 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 34 25 4 5 +67 79
2 Ath Madrid 34 25 4 5 +42 79
3 Real Madrid 34 24 6 4 +71 78
4 Villarreal 34 17 9 8 +11 60
5 Ath Bilbao 34 16 6 12 +10 54
6 Celta 34 15 9 10 -7 54
7 Sevilla 34 13 10 11 +5 49
8 Valencia 34 11 10 13 +2 43
9 Malaga 34 10 12 12 +0 42
10 Sociedad 34 11 8 15 -4 41
11 Eibar 34 11 8 15 -8 41
12 Betis 34 10 11 13 -15 41
13 Las Palmas 34 11 7 16 -8 40
14 La Coruna 34 7 17 10 -14 38
15 Espanol 34 10 7 17 -28 37
16 Vallecano 34 8 11 15 -20 35
17 Granada 34 8 9 17 -23 33
18 Sp Gijon 34 8 8 18 -20 32
19 Getafe 34 8 7 19 -31 31
20 Levante 34 7 7 20 -30 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Dec -15 Espanol – Las Palmas 1–0

Match report

Las Palmas Espanol
9′
🟨 Papakouli Diop
David Simón 🟨
11′
13′
🔁 Joan Jordán
↦ Abraham
Vicente Gómez 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 N. El Zhar
Jonathan Viera
46′
2–0 Jonathan Viera
49′
54′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ Gerard Moreno
55′
🟨 Javi López
3–0 Pedro Bigas
Jonathan Viera
56′
58′
🟨 Mamadou Sylla
Hernán 🔁
↦ Vicente Gómez
59′
59′
🔁 Salva Sevilla
↦ P. Diop
W. Mubarak 🔁
↦ M. Lemos
66′
69′
🟨 Enzo Roco
Valerón 🔁
↦ Momo
74′
4–0 W. Mubarak
Willian José
75′
Dani Castellano 🟨
85′
Nabil El Zhar 🟨
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Las Palmas

1 Raúl Lizoáin G
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Pedro Bigas D
2 David Simón D
3 M. Lemos D
11 Momo M
25 N. El Zhar M
4 Vicente Gómez M
15 Roque Mesa M
8 Willian José F
20 Jonathan Viera M
Bench (7)
14 Hernán
12 W. Mubarak
21 Valerón
5 David García
10 S. Araújo
13 Javi Varas
24 Tana

Espanol

1 G. Arlauskis G
16 Javi López D
6 E. Roco D
5 Víctor Álvarez D
22 Álvaro González D
12 P. Diop M
10 Abraham M
25 Marco Asensio M
17 H. Pérez M
7 Gerard Moreno F
9 Burgui M
Bench (6)
19 Joan Jordán
28 M. Sylla
8 Salva Sevilla
11 Paco Montañés
13 Pau López
15 M. Ciani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.