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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez

Espanol

T T S S T

1–2

Full-time

Sp Gijon

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Sp Gijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Espanol 9. · Sp Gijon 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Celta	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Barcelona	7	5	0	2	+3	15
4	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+13	14
5	Ath Madrid	6	4	0	2	+6	12
6	La Coruna	7	3	3	1	+5	12
7	Eibar	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Valencia	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Espanol	6	3	0	3	-8	9
10	Sevilla	7	2	2	3	-4	8
11	Betis	6	2	2	2	-4	8
12	Getafe	7	2	1	4	-2	7
13	Vallecano	6	2	1	3	-4	7
14	Sociedad	6	1	3	2	+1	6
15	Las Palmas	6	1	2	3	-1	5
16	Sp Gijon	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Ath Bilbao	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Granada	7	1	1	5	-8	4
19	Malaga	6	0	3	3	-3	3
20	Levante	6	0	3	3	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Celta	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Sevilla	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Espanol	3	2	0	1	-4	6
9	Valencia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	La Coruna	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Las Palmas	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Betis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Eibar	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Levante	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Sociedad	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Malaga	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Sp Gijon	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Granada	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	La Coruna	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+7	7
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Celta	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Barcelona	4	2	0	2	-2	6
7	Eibar	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Sp Gijon	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Betis	3	1	1	1	-4	4
12	Granada	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Vallecano	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Espanol	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Las Palmas	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Ath Bilbao	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Getafe	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Levante	3	0	1	2	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.