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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Sp Gijon
U U T S T
1–2
Full-time
Betis
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,6
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,6
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
19 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
10 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 13. · Betis 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 6 5 1 0 +8 16
2 Barcelona 6 5 0 1 +4 15
3 Real Madrid 6 4 2 0 +13 14
4 Celta 6 4 2 0 +8 14
5 Ath Madrid 6 4 0 2 +6 12
6 Eibar 6 2 3 1 +2 9
7 Valencia 6 2 3 1 +1 9
8 Espanol 5 3 0 2 -5 9
9 La Coruna 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Vallecano 6 2 1 3 -4 7
11 Sociedad 5 1 2 2 +1 5
12 Las Palmas 6 1 2 3 -1 5
13 Sp Gijon 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Sevilla 6 1 2 3 -5 5
15 Betis 5 1 2 2 -5 5
16 Malaga 6 0 3 3 -3 3
17 Ath Bilbao 5 1 0 4 -4 3
18 Levante 5 0 3 2 -4 3
19 Getafe 5 1 0 4 -5 3
20 Granada 6 1 0 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Betis
1–0 Carlos Castro
A. Halilović
17′
Half-time 1–1
46′
Joaquín 1–1
Rubén Castro
57′
Rubén Castro 1–2
Guerrero 🔁
↦ Isma López
62′
69′
🟨 Alfred N'Diaye
70′
🔁 Petros
↦ Dani Ceballos
Juan Muñiz 🔁
↦ Jony
76′
78′
🔁 Jorge Molina
↦ Joaquín
Pablo Pérez 🔁
↦ Jorge Meré
81′
87′
🔁 Xavi Torres
↦ Cejudo
Nacho Cases 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

13 Alberto García G
11 Lora D
2 Luis Hernández D
3 Álex Menéndez D
28 Jorge Meré D
18 Isma López M
10 Nacho Cases M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
25 A. Halilović M
23 Jony M
16 Carlos Castro F
Bench (7)
9 Guerrero
7 Juan Muñiz
22 Pablo Pérez
14 Alberto Guitián
17 Omar Mascarell
19 Carlos Carmona
26 Dennis

Betis

13 Adán G
17 H. Westermann D
4 Bruno González D
12 C. Piccini D
33 Francisco Varela D
7 Joaquín M
18 A. N'Diaye M
16 Cejudo M
22 Portillo M
10 Dani Ceballos M
24 Rubén Castro F
Bench (7)
25 Petros
19 Jorge Molina
14 Xavi Torres
1 Dani Giménez
2 Molinero
6 Jordi Figueras
9 R. van Wolfswinkel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.