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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Sp Gijon
U U
0–1
Full-time
Valencia
U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
15 Shots 17
8 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 12. · Valencia 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 3 2 1 0 +11 7
2 Celta 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Eibar 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Granada 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Espanol 3 1 0 2 -7 3
9 La Coruna 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Valencia 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Sociedad 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Sp Gijon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Levante 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Sevilla 3 0 2 1 -3 2
15 Malaga 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Las Palmas 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Vallecano 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Betis 2 0 1 1 -5 1
19 Getafe 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Ath Bilbao 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Valencia
30′
🟨 Dani Parejo
41′
🟨 Enzo Pérez
Omar Mascarell 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
Nacho Cases 🔁
↦ Omar Mascarell
61′
Isma López 🟨
64′
67′
🔁 André Gomes
↦ E. Pérez
Guerrero 🔁
↦ A. Halilović
70′
75′
🔁 Paco Alcácer
↦ Negredo
Pablo Pérez 🟨
77′
81′
🟨 Javi Fuego
Carlos Carmona 🔁
↦ Pablo Pérez
82′
82′
🔁 Z. Bakkali
↦ P. Piatti
91′
⚽ Paco Alcácer 0–1
Z. Bakkali
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

1 Pichu Cuéllar G
5 B. Espinosa D
11 Lora D
2 Luis Hernández D
18 Isma López M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
17 Omar Mascarell M
22 Pablo Pérez M
25 A. Halilović M
23 Jony M
20 A. Sanabria F
Bench (7)
10 Nacho Cases
9 Guerrero
19 Carlos Carmona
13 Alberto García
15 Canella
24 R. Aït-Atmane
28 Jorge Meré

Valencia

26 Jaume Doménech G
23 A. Abdennour D
5 S. Mustafi D
2 João Cancelo D
14 José Gayá D
15 E. Pérez M
18 Javi Fuego M
8 S. Feghouli M
10 Dani Parejo M
7 Negredo F
11 P. Piatti M
Bench (7)
21 André Gomes
9 Paco Alcácer
16 Z. Bakkali
6 L. Orbán
13 Yoel
17 Rodrigo
20 R. de Paul

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.