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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
La Coruna
U U S T S
3–0
Full-time
Espanol
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
5 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match La Coruna 9. · Espanol 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 6 5 1 0 +8 16
2 Barcelona 6 5 0 1 +4 15
3 Real Madrid 6 4 2 0 +13 14
4 Celta 6 4 2 0 +8 14
5 Ath Madrid 6 4 0 2 +6 12
6 Eibar 6 2 3 1 +2 9
7 Valencia 6 2 3 1 +1 9
8 Espanol 5 3 0 2 -5 9
9 La Coruna 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Betis 6 2 2 2 -4 8
11 Vallecano 6 2 1 3 -4 7
12 Sociedad 5 1 2 2 +1 5
13 Las Palmas 6 1 2 3 -1 5
14 Sp Gijon 6 1 2 3 -2 5
15 Sevilla 6 1 2 3 -5 5
16 Malaga 6 0 3 3 -3 3
17 Ath Bilbao 5 1 0 4 -4 3
18 Levante 5 0 3 2 -4 3
19 Getafe 5 1 0 4 -5 3
20 Granada 6 1 0 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Espanol
13′
🟨 Marco Asensio
0–1 Álvaro González
own goal
14′
Alberto Lopo 🟨
24′
Lucas Pérez 🟨
26′
1–1 Lucas Pérez
Luis Alberto
27′
33′
🟨 Papakouli Diop
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 H. Pérez
↦ F. Caicedo
2–1 Lucas Pérez
47′
55′
🔁 Burgui
↦ Víctor Álvarez
Laure 🔁
↦ Fernando Navarro
56′
57′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ Víctor Sánchez
Álex Bergantiños 🔁
↦ Pedro Mosquera
62′
Laure 🟨
64′
F. Cartabia 🔁
↦ Lucas Pérez
68′
73′
🟨 Enzo Roco
Álex Bergantiños 🟨
76′
77′
🟨 Rubén Duarte
79′
🟨 Papakouli Diop
79′
🟥 Papakouli Diop
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

La Coruna

1 G. Lux G
23 Lopo D
3 Fernando Navarro D
12 Sidnei D
22 C. Borges M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
19 F. Fajr M
11 Juanfran D
21 Luis Alberto F
9 Oriol Riera F
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (7)
15 Laure
4 Álex Bergantiños
17 F. Cartabia
6 Cani
10 Juan Domínguez
14 Alejandro Arribas
25 Manu

Espanol

13 Pau López G
6 E. Roco D
5 Víctor Álvarez D
22 Álvaro González D
2 Rober Correa D
3 Rubén Duarte D
12 P. Diop M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
25 Marco Asensio M
20 F. Caicedo F
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (7)
17 H. Pérez
9 Burgui
28 M. Sylla
1 F. Bardi
14 Cañas
16 Javi López
18 Juan Fuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.