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Bundesliga
Referee: Peter Sippel
Hannover
T T T T U
1–0
Full-time
Werder Bremen
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 15%
0%
29%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 18. · Werder Bremen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 7 7 0 0 +20 21
2 Dortmund 7 5 2 0 +15 17
3 Schalke 04 7 5 1 1 +5 16
4 Wolfsburg 7 3 3 1 +2 12
5 Mainz 8 4 0 4 +1 12
6 Leverkusen 7 4 0 3 -1 12
7 Hertha 7 3 2 2 +0 11
8 FC Koln 7 3 2 2 -2 11
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 7 3 2 2 -2 11
10 Darmstadt 8 2 4 2 -2 10
11 Hamburg 7 3 1 3 -2 10
12 Ein Frankfurt 7 2 3 2 +4 9
13 Werder Bremen 7 2 1 4 -5 7
14 M'gladbach 7 2 0 5 -6 6
15 Hoffenheim 7 1 2 4 -4 5
16 Augsburg 7 1 1 5 -5 4
17 Stuttgart 7 1 0 6 -8 3
18 Hannover 7 0 2 5 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.