Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sheffield Weds
Preston
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 21 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 3 |
Burnley
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 18 |
| 4 |
Reading
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Hull
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |
Wolves
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 |
Birmingham
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |
Cardiff
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +0 | 15 |
| 10 |
Derby
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 11 |
Nott'm Forest
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Sheffield Weds
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
QPR
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |
Fulham
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 15 |
Leeds
|
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 |
Huddersfield
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 |
Charlton
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 18 |
Blackburn
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +0 | 8 |
| 19 |
Brentford
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 |
Bolton
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 21 |
Rotherham
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 22 |
Preston
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 23 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 7 |
| 24 |
Bristol City
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Pickford
G
A. Reach
M
A. Browne
M
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Brentford
Sheffield Weds
Sheffield Weds
Fulham
Bolton
Sheffield Weds
Burnley
Sheffield Weds
Sheffield Weds
Middlesbrough
Andy Woolmer · 45 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.