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Championship
Referee: Andy Woolmer
3–1
Full-time
Preston
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Championship · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
33%
11%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
56%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
78%
56%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 12. · Preston 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 9 6 3 0 +6 21
2 Middlesbrough 9 6 2 1 +12 20
3 Burnley 10 5 3 2 +3 18
4 Reading 9 4 3 2 +7 15
5 Hull 9 4 3 2 +5 15
6 Wolves 10 4 3 3 +4 15
7 Birmingham 9 4 3 2 +4 15
8 Cardiff 9 4 3 2 +3 15
9 Ipswich 9 4 3 2 +0 15
10 Derby 9 3 5 1 +3 14
11 Nott'm Forest 9 3 3 3 +0 12
12 Sheffield Weds 9 3 3 3 -1 12
13 QPR 9 3 3 3 -3 12
14 Fulham 9 3 2 4 +1 11
15 Leeds 9 2 5 2 -2 11
16 Huddersfield 10 2 4 4 -4 10
17 Charlton 9 2 3 4 -3 9
18 Blackburn 9 1 5 3 +0 8
19 Brentford 9 2 2 5 -5 8
20 Bolton 9 1 5 3 -6 8
21 Rotherham 10 2 2 6 -7 8
22 Preston 9 1 4 4 -4 7
23 Milton Keynes Dons 9 2 1 6 -5 7
24 Bristol City 9 1 3 5 -8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Preston
10′
🔁 C. Humphrey
↦ P. McCarthy
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Lee
F. Forestieri
46′
2–0 D. Pudil
55′
56′
🔁 J. Hugill
↦ S. May
56′
🔁 E. Doyle
↦ W. Keane
L. McGugan 🔁
↦ R. Wallace
67′
Lucas João 🔁
↦ A. Nuhiu
67′
76′
A. Browne 2–1
T. Clarke
Álex López 🔁
↦ F. Forestieri
85′
87′
🟨 Daniel Johnson
3–1 L. McGugan
Álex López
96′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

1 K. Westwood G
36 D. Pudil D
3 M. Turner D
32 J. Hunt D
4 S. Hutchinson M
15 T. Lees D
33 R. Wallace M
20 K. Lee M
41 B. Bannan M
45 F. Forestieri F
9 A. Nuhiu F
Bench (7)
10 L. McGugan
18 Lucas João
21 Álex López
5 G. Loovens
28 J. Wildsmith
7 Marco Matias
16 R. Wiggins

Preston

1 J. Pickford G
4 P. McCarthy
15 C. Woods D
5 T. Clarke D
3 G. Cunningham D
32 A. Reach M
19 J. Welsh M
11 D. Johnson M
16 A. Browne M
24 S. May F
9 W. Keane F
Bench (7)
7 C. Humphrey
25 J. Hugill
13 E. Doyle
43 C. Kirkland
8 N. Kilkenny
29 J. Heaton
12 P. Gallagher

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Woolmer · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.