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Pro League
Charleroi
S U T U U
3–0
Full-time
Waregem
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
20%
100%
Both score Ø 70%
40%
100%
Average goals
1,4
4,2
Scored
0,6
2,4
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
20%
100%
Both score Ø 70%
40%
100%
Average goals
1,4
4,2
Scored
0,6
2,4
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 11. · Waregem 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
3 Anderlecht 6 5 1 0 +8 16
4 St Truiden 8 4 1 3 +5 13
5 Gent 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 Waregem 5 3 0 2 +3 9
7 Genk 5 3 0 2 +2 9
8 Mechelen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 2 2 5 -4 8
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 2 1 3 -3 7
11 Charleroi 5 1 3 1 -1 6
12 Kortrijk 6 1 3 2 -1 6
13 Westerlo 9 1 3 5 -9 6
14 Beveren 6 2 0 4 -9 6
15 Lokeren 8 1 1 6 -7 4
16 Standard 6 1 1 4 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Waregem
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Pollet
Javi Martos
48′
57′
🔁 N. Storm
↦ S. Buyl
2–0 D. N'Dongala
67′
70′
🔁 C. D'Ulivo
↦ J. Sami
C. Tainmont 🔁
↦ A. Baby
74′
79′
🔁 S. De Ridder
↦ C. Lepoint
C. Diandy 🔁
↦ D. Pollet
80′
F. Stevance 🔁
↦ J. Perbet
87′
3–0 E. Sağlık
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
17 S. Marinos
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
3 S. Willems
25 D. Marcq
18 A. Baby
28 E. Sağlık
88 D. N'Dongala
21 J. Perbet
10 D. Pollet
Bench (7)
7 C. Tainmont
13 C. Diandy
9 F. Stevance
6 G. Zajkov
19 Clinton Mata
23 K. Geraerts
35 P. Mandanda

Waregem

1 S. Bossut
6 J. Sami
5 B. Verboom
3 M. Baudry
4 A. Diallo
34 O. Kaya
8 J. Jørgensen
23 C. Lepoint
11 S. Buyl
9 M. Leye
7 M. Thiam
Bench (7)
42 N. Storm
2 C. D'Ulivo
10 S. De Ridder
15 J. Benteke
22 K. Steppe
26 C. Aneke
29 A. Cordaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.