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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Gräfe

M'gladbach

S T S U S

2–1

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

2,2

2,7

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,2

This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 63%

50%

75%

Points per game

1,8

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

58%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

28% Possession 72%

7 Shots 26

2 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 5. · Bayern Munich 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	2	1	+22	29
2	RB Leipzig	13	8	2	3	+7	26
3	Schalke 04	13	7	3	3	+6	24
4	Dortmund	13	6	3	4	+13	21
5	M'gladbach	12	6	3	3	+0	21
6	Leverkusen	13	5	5	3	+8	20
7	Hoffenheim	12	5	5	2	+6	20
8	Augsburg	13	5	4	4	+3	19
9	Ein Frankfurt	13	5	4	4	+1	19
10	Hannover	13	5	4	4	+0	19
11	Stuttgart	13	5	2	6	-3	17
12	Mainz	13	4	3	6	-5	15
13	Wolfsburg	13	2	8	3	-2	14
14	Hertha	12	3	5	4	-3	14
15	Freiburg	13	2	5	6	-16	11
16	Hamburg	12	3	1	8	-10	10
17	Werder Bremen	13	1	5	7	-8	8
18	FC Koln	12	0	2	10	-19	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	5	1	0	+16	16
2	RB Leipzig	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Stuttgart	6	5	1	0	+7	16
4	Schalke 04	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Mainz	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Leverkusen	6	3	3	0	+8	12
7	Hoffenheim	7	3	3	1	+3	12
8	Hannover	6	3	2	1	+4	11
9	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+3	11
10	Hertha	7	3	2	2	+0	11
11	Dortmund	6	3	1	2	+9	10
12	Freiburg	7	2	4	1	+1	10
13	M'gladbach	6	3	1	2	-1	10
14	Wolfsburg	7	1	5	1	-1	8
15	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Hamburg	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	Werder Bremen	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	FC Koln	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+6	13
2	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	3	1	+2	12
3	Dortmund	7	3	2	2	+4	11
4	M'gladbach	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Schalke 04	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	RB Leipzig	7	3	1	3	-1	10
7	Hoffenheim	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Leverkusen	7	2	2	3	+0	8
9	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Hannover	7	2	2	3	-4	8
11	Wolfsburg	6	1	3	2	-1	6
12	Werder Bremen	7	0	4	3	-4	4
13	Hertha	5	0	3	2	-3	3
14	Hamburg	6	1	0	5	-7	3
15	Mainz	6	0	2	4	-8	2
16	Stuttgart	7	0	1	6	-10	1
17	FC Koln	7	0	1	6	-12	1
18	Freiburg	6	0	1	5	-17	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.