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Bundesliga
Referee: Harm Osmers
Bayern Munich
S S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Hertha
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
2,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 52%
68%
36%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
77%
59%
Both score Ø 62%
64%
59%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 3
6 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bayern Munich 2. · Hertha 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 22 15 6 1 +31 51
2 Bayern Munich 22 15 3 4 +24 48
3 M'gladbach 22 13 4 5 +20 43
4 RB Leipzig 22 12 5 5 +22 41
5 Leverkusen 22 11 3 8 +7 36
6 Wolfsburg 22 10 5 7 +5 35
7 Ein Frankfurt 22 9 7 6 +13 34
8 Hoffenheim 22 8 9 5 +12 33
9 Werder Bremen 23 8 8 7 +4 32
10 Hertha 22 8 8 6 +3 32
11 Mainz 22 7 6 9 -13 27
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 7 4 11 -16 25
13 Freiburg 22 5 9 8 -8 24
14 Schalke 04 22 6 5 11 -7 23
15 Augsburg 22 4 6 12 -9 18
16 Stuttgart 23 4 4 15 -32 16
17 Hannover 22 3 5 14 -27 14
18 Nurnberg 22 2 7 13 -29 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Hertha
Half-time 0–0
Thiago Alcântara 🔁
↦ L. Goretzka
46′
Joshua Kimmich 🟨
51′
K. Coman 🔁
↦ F. Ribéry
58′
1–0 Javi Martínez
J. Rodríguez
62′
T. Müller 🔁
↦ K. Coman
67′
79′
🔁 P. Dárdai
↦ A. Maier
79′
🔁 D. Jastrzembski
↦ S. Kalou
84′
🟥 Karim Rekik
James Rodríguez 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-3-3
1 M. Neuer G
17 J. Boateng D
27 D. Alaba D
4 N. Süle D
32 J. Kimmich D
7 F. Ribéry M
8 Javi Martínez M
11 J. Rodríguez M
18 L. Goretzka M
22 S. Gnabry M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (7)
6 Thiago Alcântara
29 K. Coman
25 T. Müller
13 Rafinha
19 A. Davies
26 S. Ulreich
35 Renato Sanches

Coach: N. Kovač

Hertha

3-4-1-2
22 R. Jarstein G
4 K. Rekik D
5 N. Stark D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
8 S. Kalou M
28 F. Lustenberger M
20 V. Lazaro M
10 O. Duda M
15 M. Grujić M
23 A. Maier M
27 D. Selke F
Bench (7)
24 P. Dárdai
32 D. Jastrzembski
13 L. Klünter
1 T. Kraft
3 P. Skjelbred
6 V. Darida
29 F. Baak

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Harm Osmers · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.