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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Mainz
S T S U T
2–2
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 43%
33%
53%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
47%
73%
Both score Ø 63%
53%
73%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,9
2,1
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mainz 11. · Ein Frankfurt 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 16 12 3 1 +25 39
2 M'gladbach 16 10 3 3 +19 33
3 Bayern Munich 15 9 3 3 +14 30
4 RB Leipzig 15 8 4 3 +14 28
5 Ein Frankfurt 15 8 2 5 +14 26
6 Wolfsburg 16 7 4 5 +4 25
7 Hertha 16 6 6 4 +1 24
8 Hoffenheim 15 6 5 4 +9 23
9 Werder Bremen 15 6 3 6 +0 21
10 Leverkusen 16 6 3 7 -5 21
11 Mainz 15 5 4 6 -5 19
12 Freiburg 15 4 5 6 -5 17
13 Augsburg 16 3 6 7 -3 15
14 Schalke 04 16 4 3 9 -6 15
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 4 3 9 -15 15
16 Stuttgart 16 4 2 10 -21 14
17 Nurnberg 16 2 5 9 -23 11
18 Hannover 15 2 4 9 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mainz Ein Frankfurt
1–0 R. Quaison
J. Mateta
10′
31′
L. Jović 1–1
F. Kostić
2–1 R. Quaison
J. Boëtius
36′
Half-time 2–2
46′
L. Jović 2–2
J. de Guzmán
Aarón Martin Caricol 🟨
57′
59′
🟨 Carlos Salcedo
Jean-Paul Boëtius 🟨
70′
72′
🔁 A. Rebić
↦ J. de Guzmán
72′
🔁 J. Willems
↦ M. Gaćinović
77′
🟨 Ante Rebić
R. Baku 🔁
↦ P. Malong
77′
Stefan Bell 🟨
83′
K. Onisiwo 🔁
↦ J. Mateta
84′
86′
🟨 Evan Ndicka
A. Maxim 🔁
↦ D. Latza
88′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Mainz

4-3-1-2
27 R. Zentner G
18 D. Brosinski D
16 S. Bell D
3 Aarón Martín D
19 M. Niakhate D
6 D. Latza M
25 J. Gbamin M
14 P. Malong M
5 J. Boëtius F
7 R. Quaison F
9 J. Mateta F
Bench (7)
34 R. Baku
21 K. Onisiwo
10 A. Maxim
8 L. Öztunali
20 A. Ujah
33 J. Huth
42 A. Hack

Coach: S. Schwarz

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-1-2
31 K. Trapp G
3 S. Falette D
24 D. da Costa M
13 C. Salcedo D
2 O. N'Dicka D
6 J. de Guzmán M
5 G. Fernandes M
10 F. Kostić M
11 M. Gaćinović M
9 S. Haller F
8 L. Jović F
Bench (7)
4 A. Rebić
15 J. Willems
1 F. Rønnow
21 M. Stendera
23 M. Russ
27 N. Müller
33 T. Tawatha

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.