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Bundesliga
Referee: Knut Kircher
Augsburg
U U T T S
2–2
Full-time
M'gladbach
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 39%
27%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
45%
77%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,1
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
24 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 7
11 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 14. · M'gladbach 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 23 20 2 1 +47 62
2 Dortmund 22 16 3 3 +30 51
3 Hertha 23 11 6 6 +7 39
4 Leverkusen 22 10 5 7 +8 35
5 M'gladbach 22 11 2 9 +5 35
6 Schalke 04 22 10 4 8 +2 34
7 Mainz 22 10 3 9 +1 33
8 Wolfsburg 23 8 7 8 +1 31
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 23 8 6 9 -7 30
10 FC Koln 23 7 8 8 -5 29
11 Hamburg 23 7 7 9 -5 28
12 Stuttgart 23 8 4 11 -9 28
13 Darmstadt 23 6 7 10 -11 25
14 Augsburg 22 6 6 10 -7 24
15 Ein Frankfurt 22 5 7 10 -10 22
16 Werder Bremen 23 5 6 12 -19 21
17 Hoffenheim 22 3 9 10 -11 18
18 Hannover 23 5 2 16 -17 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Sep -15 M'gladbach – Augsburg 4–2

Match report

Augsburg M'gladbach
33′
Raffael 0–1
I. Traoré
Half-time 0–1
Ja-Cheol Koo 🔁
↦ J. Morávek
46′
1–1 A. Finnbogason
P. Verhaegh
50′
2–1 Caiuby
53′
55′
F. Johnson 2–2
N. Elvedi
64′
🔁 M. Hinteregger
↦ M. Dahoud
67′
🔁 P. Herrmann
↦ I. Traoré
C. Janker 🔁
↦ Ja-Cheol Koo
78′
A. Esswein 🔁
↦ R. Bobadilla
84′
86′
🔁 R. Brouwers
↦ T. Hazard
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Augsburg

35 M. Hitz G
2 P. Verhaegh D
5 R. Klavan D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
7 Halil Altıntop M
30 Caiuby M
14 J. Morávek M
21 D. Kohr M
25 R. Bobadilla F
27 A. Finnbogason F
Bench (7)
19 Ja-Cheol Koo
16 C. Janker
11 A. Esswein
1 A. Manninger
3 K. Stafylidis
13 T. Werner
22 Dong-Won Ji

M'gladbach

1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
3 A. Christensen D
30 N. Elvedi D
6 H. Nordtveit D
16 I. Traoré M
19 F. Johnson M
34 G. Xhaka M
10 T. Hazard M
8 M. Dahoud M
11 Raffael F
Bench (7)
5 M. Hinteregger
7 P. Herrmann
4 R. Brouwers
21 T. Sippel
23 J. Hofmann
27 J. Korb
31 B. Hrgota

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Knut Kircher · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
2,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.