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Bundesliga

Referee: Martin Petersen

M'gladbach

T T S U T

3–3

Full-time

Hoffenheim

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

0,5

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

46%

54%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

62%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%

23 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 3

3 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 10. · Hoffenheim 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	26	21	3	2	+47	66
2	Schalke 04	26	13	7	6	+10	46
3	Dortmund	26	12	9	5	+20	45
4	Leverkusen	26	12	8	6	+14	44
5	Ein Frankfurt	26	12	6	8	+5	42
6	RB Leipzig	26	11	7	8	+4	40
7	Hoffenheim	26	10	8	8	+5	38
8	Stuttgart	27	11	4	12	-5	37
9	Augsburg	26	9	8	9	+3	35
10	M'gladbach	26	10	5	11	-6	35
11	Hertha	26	7	11	8	-1	32
12	Hannover	26	8	8	10	-5	32
13	Werder Bremen	26	7	9	10	-4	30
14	Freiburg	27	6	12	9	-18	30
15	Wolfsburg	26	4	13	9	-8	25
16	Mainz	26	6	7	13	-14	25
17	Hamburg	26	4	6	16	-23	18
18	FC Koln	26	4	5	17	-24	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	11	2	0	+31	35
2	Stuttgart	13	8	2	3	+5	26
3	RB Leipzig	13	7	4	2	+10	25
4	Hoffenheim	13	7	4	2	+10	25
5	Schalke 04	13	7	4	2	+7	25
6	Dortmund	13	6	4	3	+12	22
7	Leverkusen	13	6	4	3	+7	22
8	Hannover	13	6	3	4	+4	21
9	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	+4	21
10	M'gladbach	13	6	3	4	+2	21
11	Freiburg	14	5	6	3	-1	21
12	Augsburg	13	5	4	4	+4	19
13	Werder Bremen	13	5	4	4	+2	19
14	Hertha	13	4	5	4	-1	17
15	Mainz	13	5	2	6	-3	17
16	Wolfsburg	13	2	7	4	-2	13
17	Hamburg	13	3	4	6	-4	13
18	FC Koln	13	2	3	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	1	2	+16	31
2	Dortmund	13	6	5	2	+8	23
3	Leverkusen	13	6	4	3	+7	22
4	Schalke 04	13	6	3	4	+3	21
5	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	+1	21
6	Augsburg	13	4	4	5	-1	16
7	Hertha	13	3	6	4	+0	15
8	RB Leipzig	13	4	3	6	-6	15
9	M'gladbach	13	4	2	7	-8	14
10	Hoffenheim	13	3	4	6	-5	13
11	Wolfsburg	13	2	6	5	-6	12
12	Werder Bremen	13	2	5	6	-6	11
13	Hannover	13	2	5	6	-9	11
14	Stuttgart	14	3	2	9	-10	11
15	Freiburg	13	1	6	6	-17	9
16	Mainz	13	1	5	7	-11	8
17	FC Koln	13	2	2	9	-14	8
18	Hamburg	13	1	2	10	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.