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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

PSV Eindhoven

S U S S T

3–0

Full-time

VVV Venlo

U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 54%

81%

26%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

74%

37%

Both score Ø 50%

48%

52%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

31 Shots 3

19 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 16

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · VVV Venlo 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	27	22	2	3	+37	68
2	Ajax	27	19	4	4	+47	61
3	AZ Alkmaar	27	17	5	5	+24	56
4	Feyenoord	27	13	6	8	+20	45
5	Utrecht	24	11	7	6	+1	40
6	Zwolle	27	11	7	9	-3	40
7	Vitesse	23	10	7	6	+12	37
8	Den Haag	26	10	6	10	-4	36
9	Heracles	27	10	6	11	-12	36
10	Heerenveen	26	9	8	9	-4	35
11	Excelsior	28	10	5	13	-6	35
12	VVV Venlo	27	7	12	8	-6	33
13	Groningen	27	6	11	10	-3	29
14	Willem II	28	7	6	15	-11	27
15	NAC Breda	27	7	6	14	-13	27
16	Sparta Rotterdam	27	5	6	16	-26	21
17	Twente	28	4	7	17	-20	19
18	Roda	27	4	5	18	-33	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	12	1	0	+25	37
2	Ajax	14	11	1	2	+26	34
3	Heracles	14	9	3	2	+8	30
4	Feyenoord	14	8	3	3	+11	27
5	AZ Alkmaar	13	8	2	3	+10	26
6	Zwolle	13	7	3	3	+7	24
7	Utrecht	12	6	5	1	+4	23
8	Groningen	14	5	7	2	+7	22
9	Willem II	14	5	3	6	+5	18
10	Den Haag	13	5	3	5	+0	18
11	Heerenveen	13	5	3	5	-4	18
12	Vitesse	11	4	4	3	+4	16
13	NAC Breda	13	5	1	7	-7	16
14	VVV Venlo	14	3	5	6	-5	14
15	Twente	14	3	5	6	-6	14
16	Sparta Rotterdam	13	4	2	7	-11	14
17	Roda	14	3	3	8	-13	12
18	Excelsior	14	2	4	8	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	1	3	+12	31
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	3	2	+14	30
3	Ajax	13	8	3	2	+21	27
4	Excelsior	14	8	1	5	+2	25
5	Vitesse	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	VVV Venlo	13	4	7	2	-1	19
7	Feyenoord	13	5	3	5	+9	18
8	Den Haag	13	5	3	5	-4	18
9	Heerenveen	13	4	5	4	+0	17
10	Utrecht	12	5	2	5	-3	17
11	Zwolle	14	4	4	6	-10	16
12	NAC Breda	14	2	5	7	-6	11
13	Willem II	14	2	3	9	-16	9
14	Groningen	13	1	4	8	-10	7
15	Sparta Rotterdam	14	1	4	9	-15	7
16	Heracles	13	1	3	9	-20	6
17	Twente	14	1	2	11	-14	5
18	Roda	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.