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Championship
Referee: Keith Stroud
Leeds
U S T T U
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Sheffield Weds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
This season — Championship · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 30%
38%
22%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
57%
49%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 13. · Sheffield Weds 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 37 24 7 6 +34 79
2 Cardiff 37 23 7 7 +27 76
3 Fulham 35 18 11 6 +25 65
4 Aston Villa 34 18 8 8 +23 62
5 Derby 35 16 13 6 +22 61
6 Middlesbrough 35 18 6 11 +19 60
7 Sheffield United 37 18 5 14 +8 59
8 Bristol City 37 15 13 9 +11 58
9 Millwall 38 15 13 10 +9 58
10 Preston 37 14 15 8 +9 57
11 Brentford 37 14 11 12 +8 53
12 Ipswich 37 15 7 15 +0 52
13 Leeds 37 14 8 15 -2 50
14 Norwich 37 12 13 12 -4 49
15 QPR 38 12 11 15 -10 47
16 Nott'm Forest 37 13 6 18 -11 45
17 Hull 37 9 12 16 -3 39
18 Sheffield Weds 37 8 14 15 -12 38
19 Reading 37 8 12 17 -12 36
20 Bolton 37 8 12 17 -24 36
21 Barnsley 38 7 12 19 -19 33
22 Birmingham 37 8 6 23 -32 30
23 Burton Albion 37 7 9 21 -38 30
24 Sunderland 37 5 13 19 -28 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds Sheffield Weds
13′
🟨 Atdhe Nuhiu
Half-time 0–0
63′
🟨 Sam Hutchinson
66′
🔁 B. Bannan
↦ S. Hutchinson
P. Lasogga 🔁
↦ C. Ekuban
70′
71′
A. Nuhiu 0–1
74′
🟨 Adam Reach
J. Grot 🔁
↦ T. Pearce
77′
K. Phillips 🔁
↦ E. OKane
78′
1–1 J. Grot
Pablo Hernández
86′
90′
🟨 Joe Wildsmith
91′
A. Nuhiu 1–2
96′
🔁 M. Fox
↦ J. Pelupessy
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Leeds

4-2-3-1
30 B. Peacock-Farrell G
28 G. Berardi D
18 P. Jansson D
5 M. Pennington D
46 T. Pearce D
19 Pablo Hernández M
14 E. O'Kane M
4 A. Forshaw M
15 S. Dallas M
10 E. Alioski M
45 C. Ekuban F
Bench (7)
9 P. Lasogga
11 J. Grot
23 K. Phillips
8 V. Anita
13 F. Wiedwald
24 H. Sacko
25 R. Vieira Nan

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Sheffield Weds

5-3-2
28 J. Wildsmith G
36 D. Pudil D
2 J. Hunt D
23 S. Hutchinson M
15 T. Lees D
20 A. Reach M
46 Frederico Venâncio D
21 G. Boyd M
32 J. Pelupessy M
17 A. Nuhiu F
18 Lucas João F
Bench (7)
10 B. Bannan
6 M. Fox
3 D. Jones
7 J. Rhodes
8 J. Butterfield
16 L. Palmer
25 C. Dawson

Coach: J. Luhukay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Keith Stroud · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.