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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Augsburg
U T S U T
2–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
67%
42%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
23 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Augsburg 11. · Wolfsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 12 9 2 1 +22 29
2 Schalke 04 12 7 2 3 +6 23
3 RB Leipzig 12 7 2 3 +5 23
4 M'gladbach 12 6 3 3 +0 21
5 Dortmund 12 6 2 4 +13 20
6 Hoffenheim 12 5 5 2 +6 20
7 Ein Frankfurt 12 5 4 3 +2 19
8 Hannover 13 5 4 4 +0 19
9 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 +7 17
10 Stuttgart 13 5 2 6 -3 17
11 Augsburg 12 4 4 4 +2 16
12 Mainz 12 4 3 5 -4 15
13 Wolfsburg 12 2 8 2 -1 14
14 Hertha 12 3 5 4 -3 14
15 Hamburg 12 3 1 8 -10 10
16 Werder Bremen 12 1 5 6 -6 8
17 Freiburg 12 1 5 6 -17 8
18 FC Koln 12 0 2 10 -19 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Wolfsburg
11′
🟥 Maximilian Arnold
Koo Ja-Cheol 🔁
↦ R. Khedira
23′
40′
D. Didavi 0–1
R. Knoche
Erik Thommy 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Daniel Didavi
Half-time 0–1
M. Hinteregger 🔁
↦ K. Danso
46′
46′
🔁 Y. Gerhardt
↦ D. Didavi
1–1 M. Gregoritsch
A. Finnbogason
51′
70′
🔁 F. Uduokhai
↦ J. Brooks
76′
🟨 Divock Origi
2–1 A. Finnbogason
P. Max
78′
87′
🔁 L. Dimata
↦ P. Verhaegh
M. Heller 🔁
↦ E. Thommy
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
4 D. Opare D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
38 K. Danso D
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
8 R. Khedira M
26 E. Thommy M
27 A. Finnbogason F
11 M. Gregoritsch M
Bench (7)
19 Koo Ja-Cheol
36 M. Hinteregger
7 M. Heller
1 A. Luthe
14 J. Morávek
22 Ji Dong-Won
32 R. Framberger

Coach: M. Baum

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
3 P. Verhaegh D
31 R. Knoche D
29 M. Tisserand D
25 J. Brooks D
11 D. Didavi M
23 J. Guilavogui M
10 Y. Mallı M
27 M. Arnold M
33 M. Gómez F
14 D. Origi F
Bench (7)
13 Y. Gerhardt
17 F. Uduokhai
9 L. Dimata
6 R. Bazoer
7 P. Ntep
18 V. Osimhen
20 M. Grün

Coach: M. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.