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Bundesliga

Referee: Daniel Siebert

Augsburg

U T U S S

1–0

Full-time

RB Leipzig

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

4,3

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%

11 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 2

5 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Augsburg 8. · RB Leipzig 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	4	3	1	0	+10	10
2	Hannover	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Bayern Munich	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Schalke 04	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Hoffenheim	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	M'gladbach	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	RB Leipzig	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Hamburg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Stuttgart	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Hertha	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Leverkusen	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Wolfsburg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Mainz	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Freiburg	4	0	2	2	-7	2
17	Werder Bremen	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	FC Koln	4	0	0	4	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Schalke 04	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	M'gladbach	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
9	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Hertha	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Mainz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Freiburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Wolfsburg	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Hannover	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Bayern Munich	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Wolfsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	M'gladbach	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Hertha	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
15	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-5	0
16	Stuttgart	3	0	0	3	-6	0
17	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	-7	0
18	FC Koln	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.