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Bundesliga
Referee: Bastian Dankert
Hamburg
U S S T U
0–1
Full-time
Augsburg
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 9. · Augsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 16 14 1 1 +37 43
2 Dortmund 16 12 2 2 +25 38
3 Hertha 16 9 2 5 +6 29
4 Schalke 04 17 8 3 6 +0 27
5 Wolfsburg 16 7 5 4 +7 26
6 M'gladbach 16 8 2 6 +3 26
7 Leverkusen 16 7 3 6 +4 24
8 Mainz 16 7 3 6 +2 24
9 Hamburg 16 6 4 6 -3 22
10 FC Koln 16 5 6 5 -4 21
11 FC Ingolstadt 04 16 5 5 6 -6 20
12 Darmstadt 16 4 6 6 -8 18
13 Augsburg 16 4 4 8 -6 16
14 Werder Bremen 16 4 3 9 -14 15
15 Ein Frankfurt 16 3 5 8 -8 14
16 Hannover 16 4 2 10 -10 14
17 Hoffenheim 17 2 7 8 -8 13
18 Stuttgart 16 3 3 10 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Augsburg
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Alexander Esswein
56′
🟨 Caiuby
70′
🔁 J. Morávek
↦ Caiuby
S. Schipplock 🔁
↦ P. Lasogga
71′
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ A. Hunt
71′
76′
J. Morávek 0–1
I. Olić 🔁
↦ G. Jung
81′
85′
🔁 C. Janker
↦ A. Esswein
90′
🔁 T. Matavž
↦ R. Bobadilla
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hamburg

15 R. Adler
5 J. Djourou
4 E. Spahić D
24 G. Sakai D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
28 G. Jung M
7 I. Iličević M
14 A. Hunt M
27 N. Müller M
8 L. Holtby M
10 P. Lasogga F
Bench (7)
9 S. Schipplock
23 M. Gregoritsch
11 I. Olić
1 J. Drobný
2 D. Diekmeier
3 Cleber Reis
17 Z. Stieber

Augsburg

35 M. Hitz G
2 P. Verhaegh D
5 R. Klavan D
20 Jeong-Ho Hong D
31 P. Max D
8 M. Feulner M
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
11 A. Esswein M
25 R. Bobadilla F
22 Dong-Won Ji M
Bench (7)
14 J. Morávek
16 C. Janker
23 T. Matavž
1 A. Manninger
3 K. Stafylidis
7 Halil Altıntop
15 P. Trochowski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bastian Dankert · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.