Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Hoffenheim
M'gladbach
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
28 | 21 | 5 | 2 | +56 | 68 |
| 2 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | +21 | 58 |
| 3 |
Hoffenheim
|
28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | +23 | 51 |
| 4 |
Dortmund
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +27 | 50 |
| 5 |
Hertha
|
28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | +3 | 43 |
| 6 |
Freiburg
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -11 | 41 |
| 7 |
FC Koln
|
28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | +7 | 40 |
| 8 |
M'gladbach
|
28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 9 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 |
Schalke 04
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +5 | 37 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 |
Leverkusen
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 |
Hamburg
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -23 | 33 |
| 14 |
Wolfsburg
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -15 | 30 |
| 15 |
Mainz
|
28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 |
Augsburg
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
|
28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | -16 | 28 |
| 18 |
Darmstadt
|
28 | 4 | 3 | 21 | -37 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hamburg
Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
Bayern Munich
Hertha
Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
Leverkusen
Freiburg
Hoffenheim
Christian Dingert · 74 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.