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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Zwayer
FC Koln
U T S S U
0–0
Full-time
Werder Bremen
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,3
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 30%
31%
28%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
38%
72%
Both score Ø 64%
53%
75%
Average goals
2,4
3,6
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 7
7 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 8. · Werder Bremen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 26 4 2 +60 82
2 Dortmund 32 24 5 3 +49 77
3 Leverkusen 32 17 6 9 +16 57
4 M'gladbach 32 15 4 13 +14 49
5 Hertha 32 14 7 11 +1 49
6 Schalke 04 32 14 6 12 -1 48
7 Mainz 32 13 7 12 +2 46
8 FC Koln 32 10 11 11 -4 41
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 32 10 10 12 -7 40
10 Wolfsburg 32 10 9 13 -5 39
11 Hamburg 32 10 8 14 -7 38
12 Augsburg 32 9 10 13 -8 37
13 Hoffenheim 32 9 10 13 -11 37
14 Darmstadt 32 8 11 13 -14 35
15 Werder Bremen 32 9 7 16 -16 34
16 Ein Frankfurt 32 8 9 15 -18 33
17 Stuttgart 32 9 6 17 -21 33
18 Hannover 32 6 4 22 -30 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Werder Bremen
Dominic Maroh 🟨
24′
38′
🟨 Florian Grillitsch
Half-time 0–0
K. Vogt 🔁
↦ Y. Gerhardt
46′
Y. Ōsako 🔁
↦ S. Zoller
46′
Jonas Hector 🟨
51′
Frederik Sørensen 🟨
61′
M. Hartel 🔁
↦ L. Bittencourt
75′
75′
🔁 A. Ujah
↦ L. Öztunali
79′
🟨 Fin Bartels
84′
🔁 J. Sternberg
↦ S. García
93′
🔁 M. Eggestein
↦ C. Pizarro
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

FC Koln

1 T. Horn G
19 M. Mavraj D
5 D. Maroh D
14 J. Hector M
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
7 M. Risse M
21 L. Bittencourt M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
27 A. Modeste F
11 S. Zoller F
Bench (7)
6 K. Vogt
13 Y. Ōsako
30 M. Hartel
8 M. Jojić
16 P. Olkowski
18 T. Kessler
25 F. Mladenović

Werder Bremen

42 F. Wiedwald G
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
3 P. Djilobodji D
2 S. García D
7 J. Vestergaard D
8 C. Fritz M
16 Z. Junuzović M
22 F. Bartels F
11 L. Öztunali F
14 C. Pizarro F
27 F. Grillitsch M
Bench (7)
21 A. Ujah
37 J. Sternberg
35 M. Eggestein
4 Gálvez
18 G. Tremmel
28 M. Lorenzen
39 L. Fröde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.