Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Charleroi
Oostende
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Gent
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 |
Oostende
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 |
Club Brugge
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 19 |
| 4 |
Anderlecht
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |
St Truiden
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | +0 | 16 |
| 6 |
Waregem
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |
Genk
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 |
Charleroi
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +0 | 12 |
| 10 |
Beveren
|
10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 |
Westerlo
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -9 | 11 |
| 13 |
Lokeren
|
12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 |
Standard
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |
Mechelen
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |
Kortrijk
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Beveren
Charleroi
Charleroi
Standard
Charleroi
Waregem
Charleroi
Anderlecht
Charleroi
Westerlo
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.