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Bundesliga
Referee: Florian Meyer
Schalke 04
S S T S T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
60%
10%
Both score Ø 25%
40%
10%
Average goals
2,5
1,4
Scored
1,3
0,6
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
18 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 3. · FC Ingolstadt 04 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 11 10 1 0 +29 31
2 Dortmund 10 7 2 1 +17 23
3 Schalke 04 10 6 1 3 +1 19
4 Wolfsburg 10 5 3 2 +3 18
5 Hertha 10 5 2 3 +3 17
6 Leverkusen 10 5 2 3 +0 17
7 M'gladbach 10 5 0 5 +2 15
8 FC Ingolstadt 04 10 4 2 4 -2 14
9 FC Koln 10 4 2 4 -4 14
10 Hamburg 10 4 2 4 -4 14
11 Ein Frankfurt 11 3 4 4 -1 13
12 Darmstadt 10 3 4 3 -1 13
13 Mainz 10 4 0 6 -3 12
14 Werder Bremen 10 3 1 6 -5 10
15 Hannover 10 2 2 6 -9 8
16 Stuttgart 10 2 1 7 -8 7
17 Hoffenheim 10 1 3 6 -7 6
18 Augsburg 10 1 2 7 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 FC Ingolstadt 04
39′
T. Levels 0–1
M. Hartmann
Half-time 0–1
E. Choupo-Moting 🔁
↦ S. Kolašinac
46′
56′
🔁 L. Hinterseer
↦ E. Kachunga
Benedikt Höwedes 🟨
60′
61′
🟨 Pascal Groß
P. Højbjerg 🔁
↦ L. Goretzka
68′
72′
🟨 Lukas Hinterseer
73′
🔁 R. Bauer
↦ M. Hartmann
1–1 L. Sané
E. Choupo-Moting
77′
79′
🔁 A. Morales
↦ M. Leckie
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Schalke 04

1 R. Fährmann G
4 B. Höwedes D
3 Júnior Caiçara D
32 J. Matip D
6 S. Kolašinac D
15 D. Aogo M
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
19 L. Sané F
25 K. Huntelaar F
9 F. Di Santo F
Bench (7)
13 E. Choupo-Moting
23 P. Højbjerg
2 M. Friedrich
24 K. Ayhan
27 S. Riether
30 M. Gspurning
33 R. Neustädter

FC Ingolstadt 04

1 R. Özcan G
28 T. Levels D
34 M. Matip D
29 M. Suttner D
18 R. Brégerie D
5 B. Hübner D
10 P. Groß F
19 M. Christiansen M
9 M. Hartmann F
7 M. Leckie M
25 E. Kachunga M
Bench (7)
16 L. Hinterseer
23 R. Bauer
6 A. Morales
11 T. Pekhart
20 K. Engel
21 D. da Costa
26 Ø. Nyland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Florian Meyer · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
2,4 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.