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Championship
Referee: Andy Madley
Middlesbrough
S T U T S
3–0
Full-time
Charlton
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Charlton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,8
This season — Championship · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
54%
15%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
46%
62%
Both score Ø 46%
38%
54%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%
26 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
15 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 4. · Charlton 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 13 8 5 0 +8 29
2 Hull 13 7 4 2 +11 25
3 Burnley 13 7 4 2 +6 25
4 Middlesbrough 13 7 3 3 +11 24
5 Derby 13 6 6 1 +8 24
6 Birmingham 14 7 3 4 +4 24
7 Reading 13 6 4 3 +8 22
8 Cardiff 13 5 6 2 +4 21
9 Sheffield Weds 13 5 5 3 +2 20
10 Brentford 14 6 2 6 +0 20
11 QPR 14 5 4 5 -1 19
12 Wolves 14 5 3 6 +0 18
13 Fulham 13 4 5 4 +3 17
14 Ipswich 13 4 5 4 -5 17
15 Blackburn 14 3 6 5 +0 15
16 Huddersfield 13 3 5 5 -3 14
17 Nott'm Forest 13 3 5 5 -3 14
18 Leeds 14 2 7 5 -7 13
19 Preston 13 2 6 5 -3 12
20 Bristol City 13 2 5 6 -7 11
21 Milton Keynes Dons 13 3 2 8 -7 11
22 Charlton 13 2 4 7 -10 10
23 Rotherham 13 2 3 8 -9 9
24 Bolton 13 1 6 6 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Charlton
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 El-Hadji Ba
1–0 D. Nugent
60′
61′
🔁 T. Watt
↦ S. Makienok
64′
🟨 Alou Diarra
2–0 A. Adomah
Nsue
66′
69′
🔁 R. Ghoochannejhad
↦ E. Ba
76′
🟨 Patrick Bauer
3–0 Daniel Ayala
D. Nugent
78′
J. Stephens 🔁
↦ Daniel Ayala
79′
79′
🔁 F. Moussa
↦ K. Ahearne-Grant
C. De Pena 🔁
↦ S. Downing
80′
Kike 🔁
↦ D. Fabbrini
82′
Carlos De Pena 🟨
87′
88′
🟨 Chris Solly
89′
🟨 Reza Ghoochannejhad
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

1 D. Konstantopoulos G
5 F. Amorebieta D
4 Daniel Ayala D
6 B. Gibson D
19 S. Downing F
24 Nsue D
27 A. Adomah M
8 A. Clayton M
36 B. Zuculini M
35 D. Nugent F
31 D. Fabbrini F
Bench (7)
16 J. Stephens
10 C. De Pena
9 Kike
3 G. Friend
7 G. Leadbitter
13 Tomás
26 T. Kalas

Charlton

1 S. Henderson
20 C. Solly D
5 P. Bauer D
21 M. Fox D
12 A. Diarra M
4 J. Jackson M
7 J. Guðmunds­son M
22 E. Ba M
8 J. Cousins M
9 S. Makienok F
18 K. Ahearne-Grant M
Bench (7)
32 T. Watt
16 R. Ghoochannejhad
44 F. Moussa
6 N. Sarr
19 Z. Bergdich
28 C. McAleny
30 N. Pope

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andy Madley · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.