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Championship
Referee: Scott Duncan
Hull
S U T S T
2–2
Full-time
Rotherham
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Rotherham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
This season — Championship · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 28%
39%
16%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hull 12. · Rotherham 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 31 17 9 5 +21 60
2 Sheffield United 31 16 7 8 +19 55
3 West Brom 29 15 7 7 +22 52
4 Leeds 29 15 7 7 +11 52
5 Middlesbrough 30 13 12 5 +12 51
6 Derby 28 14 8 6 +12 50
7 Bristol City 30 14 8 8 +9 50
8 Birmingham 31 11 13 7 +10 46
9 Nott'm Forest 31 11 12 8 +8 45
10 Swansea 31 12 8 11 +4 44
11 Aston Villa 30 10 13 7 +7 43
12 Hull 31 12 7 12 +3 43
13 Blackburn 31 11 10 10 -5 43
14 Preston 31 10 10 11 +1 40
15 QPR 30 11 6 13 -7 39
16 Sheffield Weds 30 10 9 11 -11 39
17 Stoke 31 9 11 11 -7 38
18 Brentford 30 9 10 11 +6 37
19 Wigan 31 9 6 16 -14 33
20 Millwall 30 7 9 14 -11 30
21 Rotherham 31 5 12 14 -20 27
22 Reading 31 5 11 15 -12 26
23 Bolton 31 5 8 18 -27 23
24 Ipswich 31 3 9 19 -31 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Rotherham
1–0 J. Bowen
Evandro
2′
2–0 F. Campbell
K. Grosicki
23′
38′
🔁 A. Forde
↦ J. Yates
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Taylor
↦ R. Wood
48′
A. Forde 2–1
55′
R. McKenzie 3–1
own goal
M. Pugh 🔁
↦ K. Grosicki
71′
71′
🔁 M. Crooks
↦ R. Towell
M. Milinković 🔁
↦ Evandro
78′
C. Martin 🔁
↦ F. Campbell
82′
90′
🟨 Zak Vyner
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Hull

4-4-1-1
1 D. Marshall G
36 L. Ridgewell D
2 E. Lichaj D
23 S. Kingsley D
27 R. McKenzie M
7 Evandro F
22 M. Henriksen M
16 J. Irvine M
14 K. Grosicki M
25 F. Campbell F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
8 M. Pugh
11 M. Milinković
29 C. Martin
5 R. Burke
6 K. Stewart
12 G. Long
17 T. Kane

Coach: N. Adkins

Rotherham

3-5-2
1 M. Rodák G
6 R. Wood D
3 J. Mattock D
15 C. Robertson D
5 S. Ajayi D
20 M. Ihiekwe D
2 Z. Vyner D
13 R. Towell M
4 W. Vaulks M
24 M. Smith F
21 J. Yates F
Bench (7)
7 A. Forde
11 J. Taylor
17 M. Crooks
12 L. Price
22 J. Newell
23 R. Williams
28 B. Jones

Coach: P. Warne

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Scott Duncan · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.