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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
Brentford
U U U S S
5–2
Full-time
Blackburn
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Championship · 28/29 matches
Win Ø 34%
29%
38%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
43%
52%
Both score Ø 64%
68%
59%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

61% Possession 39%
20 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brentford 18. · Blackburn 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 29 15 9 5 +16 54
2 Sheffield United 29 15 6 8 +17 51
3 Leeds 27 15 6 6 +13 51
4 West Brom 27 14 7 6 +22 49
5 Middlesbrough 28 12 11 5 +11 47
6 Derby 27 13 8 6 +10 47
7 Bristol City 28 12 8 8 +6 44
8 Blackburn 29 11 10 8 -1 43
9 Nott'm Forest 29 10 12 7 +9 42
10 Aston Villa 28 10 11 7 +7 41
11 Swansea 29 11 8 10 +5 41
12 Birmingham 29 9 13 7 +7 40
13 Hull 29 11 7 11 +3 40
14 QPR 28 11 6 11 -5 39
15 Stoke 29 9 11 9 -4 38
16 Preston 30 9 10 11 +0 37
17 Sheffield Weds 28 9 8 11 -12 35
18 Brentford 28 8 10 10 +4 34
19 Millwall 28 7 8 13 -10 29
20 Wigan 29 8 5 16 -15 29
21 Rotherham 29 5 10 14 -20 25
22 Reading 29 5 9 15 -12 24
23 Bolton 29 5 8 16 -24 23
24 Ipswich 29 3 9 17 -27 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brentford Blackburn
2′
B. Dack 0–1
A. Armstrong
7′
D. Graham 0–2
H. Reed
1–2 S. Benrahma
K. Mokotjo
13′
Yoann Barbet 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–2
M. Odubajo 🔁
↦ R. Henry
46′
52′
🔁 J. Nuttall
↦ D. Graham
52′
🔁 C. Conway
↦ B. Dack
2–2 O. Watkins
S. Benrahma
58′
62′
🔁 B. Brereton
↦ C. Evans
71′
🟨 Darragh Lenihan
3–2 O. Watkins
73′
4–2 N. Maupay
S. Benrahma
79′
Sergi Canós 🔁
↦ S. Benrahma
80′
J. McEachran 🔁
↦ K. Mokotjo
85′
5–2 Sergi Canós
O. Watkins
92′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Brentford

3-4-3
1 D. Bentley G
22 H. Dalsgaard D
23 J. Jeanvier D
29 Y. Barbet D
3 R. Henry D
19 R. Sawyers M
12 K. Mokotjo M
26 E. Konsa D
9 N. Maupay F
21 S. Benrahma F
11 O. Watkins M
Bench (7)
2 M. Odubajo
7 Sergi Canós
10 J. McEachran
14 J. Dasilva
24 C. Ogbene
28 L. Daniels
34 M. Sørensen

Coach: T. Frank

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 David Raya G
26 D. Lenihan D
17 A. Bell D
27 L. Travis D
5 J. Rodwell M
31 E. Bennett M
29 C. Evans M
23 B. Dack M
4 H. Reed M
10 D. Graham F
7 A. Armstrong M
Bench (7)
24 J. Nuttall
32 C. Conway
19 B. Brereton
3 D. Williams
6 R. Smallwood
8 J. Rothwell
13 J. Leutwiler

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.