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Eliteserien

Referee: Rohit Saggi

Aalesund

U T U T T

1–3

Full-time

Stabaek

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Stabaek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

38%

Points per game

0,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 69%

88%

50%

Average goals

4,5

2,6

Scored

1,3

Conceded

3,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%

16 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Stabaek 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	9	0	0	+25	27
2	Molde	8	7	1	0	+17	22
3	Valerenga	8	4	3	1	+1	15
4	Odd	8	4	1	3	+4	13
5	Brann	8	4	1	3	+0	13
6	Rosenborg	8	3	3	2	+5	12
7	Stabaek	8	3	3	2	-1	12
8	Stromsgodset	8	3	3	2	-2	12
9	Kristiansund	8	2	4	2	+4	10
10	Mjondalen	9	2	2	5	-2	8
11	Viking	9	2	2	5	-8	8
12	Haugesund	9	2	2	5	-10	8
13	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	1	5	-1	7
14	Sandefjord	8	2	1	5	-8	7
15	Start	8	0	4	4	-8	4
16	Aalesund	8	0	3	5	-16	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Molde	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Valerenga	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Stromsgodset	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Stabaek	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Odd	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Brann	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Rosenborg	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Kristiansund	3	1	1	1	+4	4
10	Viking	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Sandefjord	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Haugesund	5	1	1	3	-5	4
13	Mjondalen	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Start	5	0	3	2	-6	3
16	Aalesund	4	0	1	3	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Molde	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Rosenborg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Valerenga	4	2	1	1	-1	7
5	Brann	5	2	1	2	-4	7
6	Odd	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Kristiansund	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Mjondalen	5	1	2	2	+0	5
9	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Stabaek	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Stromsgodset	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	Haugesund	4	1	1	2	-5	4
13	Viking	5	1	1	3	-7	4
14	Sandefjord	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Aalesund	4	0	2	2	-6	2
16	Start	3	0	1	2	-2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.