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Super League
Referee: I Papadopoulos
Panathinaikos
U U T S S
3–2
Full-time
OFI Crete
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — Super League · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 35%
41%
28%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
31%
56%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

53% Possession 47%
6 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · OFI Crete 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 39 31 7 1 +62 100
2 AEK 39 22 11 6 +34 77
3 PAOK 39 22 11 6 +29 77
4 Panathinaikos 39 16 14 9 +9 62
5 Atromitos 35 12 10 13 -1 46
6 Asteras Tripolis 35 11 11 13 +1 44
7 Aris 36 10 12 14 -3 42
8 Aris Thessalonikis 35 10 11 14 -3 41
9 Larisa 35 9 13 13 -9 40
10 OFI Crete 39 11 7 21 -13 40
11 Lamia 35 6 19 10 -13 37
12 Xanthi 35 9 9 17 -15 36
13 Volos NFC 35 9 7 19 -30 34
14 Panetolikos 35 7 11 17 -18 32
15 Panionios 35 7 9 19 -30 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos OFI Crete
1–0 U. Bech
D. Kourmpelis
27′
29′
João Figueiredo 1–1
P. Deligiannidis
2–1 F. Macheda
35′
38′
Ricardo Vaz 2–2
3–2 T. Chatzigiovanis
F. Macheda
42′
Half-time 3–2
S. Alexandropoulos 🔁
↦ D. Kourmpelis
46′
D. Kolovos 🔁
↦ D. Serpezis
58′
B. Schenkeveld 🟨
59′
61′
🔁 N. Vafeas
↦ João Victor
D. Kolovetsios 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 R. Vaz
67′
🔁 N. Korovesis
↦ Ricardo Vaz
A. Athanasakopoulos 🔁
↦ T. Chatzigiovanis
68′
J. Perea 🔁
↦ F. Macheda
68′
S. Tzavidas 🔁
↦ U. Bech
76′
79′
🔁 T. Mingos
↦ A. Nabi
79′
🔁 G. Sournakis
↦ V. Nikokyrakis
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

3-4-3
15 V. Xenopoulos G
5 B. Schenkeveld D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
23 V. Theocharis M
47 V. Zagaritis M
17 U. Bech F
21 D. Kourmpelis M
18 I. Bouzoukis M
11 T. Chatzigiovanis F
58 D. Serpezis F
9 F. Macheda F
Bench (9)
55 S. Alexandropoulos
7 D. Kolovos
37 A. Athanasakopoulos
19 J. Perea
54 S. Tzavidas
71 N. Christogeorgos
99 A. Kampetsis
61 C. Chatzigiannakis
38 D. Karagiannis

Coach: G. Donis

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
1 Óscar Whalley G
18 K. Giannoulis D
47 C. Braun D
12 João Victor M
41 P. Deligiannidis D
26 P. Staikos M
8 J. Neira M
10 A. Nabi F
21 Ricardo Vaz M
20 João Figueiredo F
91 V. Nikokyrakis F
Bench (6)
13 N. Vafeas
34 N. Korovesis
38 T. Mingos
80 G. Sournakis
54 M. Perdikis
87 V. Sifakis

Coach: G. Simos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,52
U
4,15
B
5,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Papadopoulos · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
32,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.