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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Besiktas
S S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Fenerbahce
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 49%
53%
44%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
66%
66%
Both score Ø 66%
59%
72%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Besiktas 4. · Fenerbahce 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Buyuksehyr 32 19 9 4 +31 66
2 Trabzonspor 32 17 11 4 +34 62
3 Sivasspor 32 16 9 7 +17 57
4 Besiktas 32 17 5 10 +14 56
5 Galatasaray 33 15 10 8 +18 55
6 Alanyaspor 33 15 9 9 +23 54
7 Fenerbahce 32 14 8 10 +12 50
8 Antalyaspor 33 11 11 11 -11 44
9 Gaziantep 33 10 13 10 -2 43
10 Kasimpasa 33 11 7 15 -6 40
11 Goztep 33 10 9 14 -7 39
12 Genclerbirligi 32 9 9 14 -12 36
13 Denizlispor 33 9 8 16 -16 35
14 Rizespor 33 10 5 18 -17 35
15 Konyaspor 32 7 12 13 -16 33
16 Yeni Malatyaspor 33 8 8 17 -6 32
17 Kayserispor 32 8 8 16 -30 32
18 Ankaragücü 33 6 11 16 -26 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Dec -19 Fenerbahce – Besiktas 3–1

Match report

Besiktas Fenerbahce
25′
🟥 V. Muriqi
J. Lens 🟨
27′
G. Gonul 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 S. Aziz
A. Diaby 🔁
↦ K. Boateng
59′
1–0 D. Vida
T. Boyd
63′
67′
🔁 Garry Rodrigues
↦ E. Belözoğlu
N. Uysal 🔁
↦ J. Lens
68′
2–0 G. Gönül
C. Erkin
70′
72′
🔁 Jaílson
↦ O. Tufan
81′
🟨 S. Falette
G. Yalçın 🔁
↦ T. Boyd
85′
86′
🟨 D. Turuc
88′
🟨 T. Cigerci
89′
🔁 Ö. Beyaz
↦ T. Ciğerci
C. Erkin 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jailson
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
88 C. Erkin D
77 G. Gönül D
24 D. Vida D
3 E. Roco D
27 J. Lens M
13 A. Hutchinson M
15 Mohamed Elneny M
99 K. Boateng M
17 B. Yılmaz F
11 T. Boyd M
Bench (9)
92 A. Diaby
20 N. Uysal
9 G. Yalçın
41 K. Yılmaz
12 E. Kaya
33 R. Yılmaz
26 D. Toköz
34 K. Kalafat
97 U. Yuvakuran

Coach: S. Yalçın

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
98 A. Bayındır G
15 S. Aziz D
3 H. Kaldırım D
2 S. Falette D
5 E. Belözoğlu M
17 N. Dirar D
14 T. Ciğerci M
23 D. Türüç M
7 O. Tufan M
16 F. Kadıoğlu M
94 V. Muriqi F
Bench (10)
24 Garry Rodrigues
25 Jaílson
30 Ö. Beyaz
21 M. Zajc
86 E. Köksal
39 C. Alptekin
28 M. Sağlam
35 H. Tekin
19 A. Sayyadmanesh
52 M. Gümüşkaya

Coach: T. Karapınar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
U
3,52
B
3,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.