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Super League

Referee: S Schärer

Luzern

S S T U T

1–2

Full-time

Xamax

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Xamax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,8

0,3

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,0

This season — Super League · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 26%

39%

13%

Points per game

1,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

48%

52%

Both score Ø 55%

45%

65%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 21

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 10

2 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 5. · Xamax 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	32	19	7	6	+34	64
2	St. Gallen	31	19	5	7	+23	62
3	Basel	31	17	4	10	+31	55
4	Servette	31	11	12	8	+13	45
5	Luzern	31	12	6	13	-6	42
6	Zurich	31	12	6	13	-21	42
7	Lugano	31	8	12	11	-4	36
8	Thun	31	8	5	18	-27	29
9	Sion	30	7	7	16	-18	28
10	Xamax	31	4	12	15	-25	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	16	14	2	0	+33	44
2	Basel	16	11	2	3	+25	35
3	St. Gallen	16	10	2	4	+12	32
4	Servette	15	7	6	2	+12	27
5	Luzern	15	7	4	4	+4	25
6	Zurich	15	7	2	6	-11	23
7	Lugano	16	4	8	4	-2	20
8	Thun	15	5	3	7	-8	18
9	Sion	15	4	4	7	-5	16
10	Xamax	16	2	5	9	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	15	9	3	3	+11	30
2	Basel	15	6	2	7	+6	20
3	Young Boys	16	5	5	6	+1	20
4	Zurich	16	5	4	7	-10	19
5	Servette	16	4	6	6	+1	18
6	Luzern	16	5	2	9	-10	17
7	Lugano	15	4	4	7	-2	16
8	Xamax	15	2	7	6	-16	13
9	Sion	15	3	3	9	-13	12
10	Thun	16	3	2	11	-19	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.