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Serie A
Referee: M Di Bello
Roma
T T S S S
2–2
Full-time
Inter
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 58%
52%
64%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
67%
70%
Both score Ø 66%
64%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
6 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roma 5. · Inter 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 33 24 5 4 +35 77
2 Atalanta 34 21 8 5 +50 71
3 Inter 33 21 8 4 +38 71
4 Lazio 33 21 6 6 +33 69
5 Roma 33 17 6 10 +17 57
6 Napoli 34 16 8 10 +10 56
7 Milan 34 16 8 10 +10 56
8 Sassuolo 34 13 9 12 +5 48
9 Verona 34 11 12 11 +0 45
10 Bologna 34 11 10 13 -9 43
11 Cagliari 34 10 12 12 -1 42
12 Fiorentina 34 10 12 12 -2 42
13 Sampdoria 34 12 5 17 -11 41
14 Parma 34 11 7 16 -3 40
15 Torino 34 11 4 19 -21 37
16 Udinese 34 9 9 16 -16 36
17 Genoa 34 8 9 17 -22 33
18 Lecce 34 7 8 19 -34 29
19 Brescia 34 6 6 22 -39 24
20 Spal 34 5 4 25 -40 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roma Inter
15′
S. de Vrij 0–1
A. Sanchez
23′
🟨 N. Barella
Half-time 1–1
1–1 L. Spinazzola
E. Dzeko
46′
2–1 H. Mkhitaryan
E. Dzeko
57′
67′
🔁 A. Young
↦ C. Biraghi
67′
🔁 L. Martinez
↦ R. Lukaku
67′
🔁 A. Candreva
↦ V. Moses
A. Diawara 🔁
↦ B. Cristante
69′
69′
🔁 R. Gagliardini
↦ C. Eriksen
P. Lopez 🟨
72′
Ibanez 🔁
↦ C. Smalling
74′
82′
🔁 A. Bastoni
↦ D. D'Ambrosio
L. Pellegrini 🔁
↦ D. Perotti
83′
H. Mkhitaryan 🔁
↦ C. Perez
84′
88′
R. Lukaku 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
13 Pau López G
23 Gianluca Mancini D
41 Roger Ibañez D
11 Aleksandar Kolarov D
33 Bruno Peres M
21 Jordan Veretout M
42 Amadou Diawara M
37 Leonardo Spinazzola M
7 Lorenzo Pellegrini F
77 Henrikh Mkhitaryan F
9 Edin Džeko F
Bench (12)
63 Daniel Fuzato
2 Davide Zappacosta
15 Yıldırım Mert Çetin
6 Chris Smalling
4 Bryan Cristante
14 Gonzalo Villar
17 Cengiz Ünder
27 Javier Pastore
31 Carles Pérez
99 Justin Kluivert
8 Diego Perotti
19 Nikola Kalinić

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Inter

3-4-1-2
1 Samir Handanovič G
37 Milan Škriniar D
6 Stefan de Vrij D
95 Alessandro Bastoni D
87 Antonio Candreva M
23 Nicolò Barella M
5 Roberto Gagliardini M
15 Ashley Young M
77 Marcelo Brozović F
7 Alexis Sánchez F
10 Lautaro Martínez F
Bench (12)
27 Daniele Padelli
46 Tommaso Berni
13 Andrea Ranocchia
2 Diego Godín
34 Cristiano Biraghi
33 Danilo D'Ambrosio
24 Christian Eriksen
20 Borja Valero
11 Victor Moses
32 Lucien Agoumé
9 Romelu Lukaku
30 Sebastiano Esposito

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,01
U ✓
3,61
B
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,40
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.