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Championship
Referee: Andy Madley
Norwich
S S U S U
1–3
Full-time
Sunderland
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,2
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%
14 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 14. · Sunderland 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cardiff 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Wolves 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Nott'm Forest 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Ipswich 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Hull 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 QPR 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Leeds 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Preston 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Birmingham 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Sheffield United 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Fulham 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Norwich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Bolton 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Millwall 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Sheffield Weds 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Derby 2 0 1 1 -2 1
20 Reading 2 0 1 1 -2 1
21 Aston Villa 2 0 1 1 -3 1
22 Brentford 2 0 0 2 -2 0
23 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 -3 0
24 Burton Albion 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Sunderland
27′
L. Grabban 0–1
J. Vaughan
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 James Vaughan
60′
A. McGeady 0–2
L. Cattermole
Josh Murphy 🔁
↦ Y. Wildschut
61′
Nélson Oliveira 🔁
↦ C. Jerome
68′
71′
L. Grabban 0–3
A. McGeady
74′
🔁 D. Gibson
↦ L. Cattermole
W. Hoolahan 🔁
↦ S. Naismith
77′
0–4 L. Grabban
own goal
78′
84′
🔁 L. Gooch
↦ A. McGeady
87′
🔁 J. O'Shea
↦ L. Grabban
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Norwich

3-5-2
1 A. Gunn G
5 R. Martin D
28 M. Franke D
3 J. Husband D
6 C. Zimmermann D
12 M. Watkins M
4 H. Reed M
23 J. Maddison M
7 S. Naismith M
10 C. Jerome F
17 Y. Wildschut F
Bench (7)
11 Josh Murphy
9 Nélson Oliveira
14 W. Hoolahan
2 Ivo Pinto
8 M. Vrančić
27 A. Tettey
33 M. McGovern

Coach: D. Farke

Sunderland

4-4-2
1 J. Steele G
2 B. Jones D
23 L. Koné D
15 B. Galloway D
18 T. Browning D
19 A. McGeady M
6 L. Cattermole M
17 D. Ndong M
26 G. Honeyman M
9 J. Vaughan F
11 L. Grabban F
Bench (7)
24 D. Gibson
27 L. Gooch
16 J. O'Shea
25 R. Ruiter
10 W. Khazri
21 A. Matthews
29 J. Asoro

Coach: S. Grayson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Madley · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.