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Championship
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Birmingham
U U T T S
1–2
Full-time
Leeds
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Championship · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 34%
40%
28%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
33%
38%
Both score Ø 47%
38%
55%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Birmingham 9. · Leeds 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 41 22 14 5 +31 80
2 Middlesbrough 40 24 7 9 +30 79
3 Brighton 39 21 13 5 +19 76
4 Hull 37 20 9 8 +33 69
5 Sheffield Weds 38 18 11 9 +19 65
6 Derby 39 17 13 9 +16 64
7 Cardiff 41 16 15 10 +8 63
8 Ipswich 41 16 12 13 +0 60
9 Birmingham 40 16 11 13 +6 59
10 Preston 41 14 14 13 +0 56
11 QPR 41 13 16 12 +4 55
12 Wolves 41 13 14 14 -4 53
13 Brentford 40 15 7 18 -4 52
14 Reading 40 13 12 15 -1 51
15 Leeds 40 11 15 14 -10 48
16 Blackburn 41 11 14 16 -1 47
17 Fulham 41 11 14 16 -4 47
18 Bristol City 41 12 11 18 -19 47
19 Huddersfield 41 12 10 19 -5 46
20 Nott'm Forest 41 11 13 17 -7 46
21 Rotherham 41 13 7 21 -13 46
22 Milton Keynes Dons 41 9 10 22 -25 37
23 Charlton 41 8 12 21 -35 36
24 Bolton 41 4 14 23 -38 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Oct -15 Leeds – Birmingham 0–2

Match report

Birmingham Leeds
11′
S. Dallas 0–1
M. Antenucci
32′
🟨 Gaetano Berardi
Half-time 0–2
50′
S. Dallas 0–2
C. Wood
1–2 C. Donaldson
53′
Jon Toral 🔁
↦ S. Gleeson
61′
69′
🔁 A. Mowatt
↦ M. Antenucci
D. Fabbrini 🔁
↦ D. Cotterill
76′
83′
🔁 M. Carayol
↦ S. Dallas
88′
🔁 G. Bellusci
↦ L. Murphy
Kyle Lafferty 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Sol Bamba
90′
🟥 Alex Mowatt
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Birmingham

1 A. Legzdins G
3 J. Grounds D
31 P. Caddis D
32 R. Shotton D
28 M. Morrison D
11 D. Cotterill M
8 S. Gleeson M
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
26 D. Davis M
9 C. Donaldson F
25 K. Lafferty F
Bench (7)
20 Jon Toral
7 D. Fabbrini
15 J. Vaughan
17 V. Solomon-Otabor
19 J. Maghoma
23 J. Spector
29 T. Kuszczak

Leeds

1 M. Silvestri G
28 G. Berardi D
3 S. Bamba D
6 L. Cooper D
21 C. Taylor D
16 T. Diagouraga M
8 L. Murphy M
15 S. Dallas M
23 L. Cook M
7 M. Antenucci F
9 C. Wood F
Bench (7)
10 A. Mowatt
18 M. Carayol
5 G. Bellusci
24 T. Adeyemi
27 K. Phillips
31 L. Coyle
45 B. Peacock-Farrell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.