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Eliteserien
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Sarpsborg 08
U U T U T
1–1
Full-time
Rosenborg
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
This season — Eliteserien · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
13%
47%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
40%
Both score Ø 54%
67%
40%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 15. · Rosenborg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 16 10 3 3 +21 33
2 Bodo/Glimt 14 9 2 3 +10 29
3 Odd 15 9 2 4 +5 29
4 Brann 16 7 5 4 +3 26
5 Valerenga 14 7 3 4 +10 24
6 Rosenborg 15 7 3 5 +2 24
7 Kristiansund 14 6 3 5 +2 21
8 Haugesund 15 5 5 5 +6 20
9 Viking 14 5 4 5 -3 19
10 Lillestrom 15 5 3 7 -6 18
11 Mjondalen 15 3 7 5 -4 16
12 Tromso 15 5 1 9 -13 16
13 Stabaek 15 4 3 8 -7 15
14 Ranheim 15 4 3 8 -9 15
15 Sarpsborg 08 15 2 7 6 -5 13
16 Stromsgodset 15 2 4 9 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg
1–0 Joachim Thomassen
Jörgen Strand Larsen
3′
12′
Mike Jensen 1–1
Jonathan Lindseth 🟨
30′
Half-time 1–1
Bart Straalman 🟨
53′
59′
🔁 Gjermund Aasen
↦ Samuel Adegbenro
67′
🟨 Anders Trondsen
70′
🔁 Pål André Helland
↦ Yann-Erik de Lanlay
Mario Pavelić 🔁
↦ Amin Askar
75′
Mate Maleš 🔁
↦ Matti Lund Nielsen
75′
77′
🟨 Birger Meling
84′
🔁 Babajide David Akintola
↦ Anders Konradsen
Gaute Hoberg Vetti 🔁
↦ Mate Maleš
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

3-4-3
30 Alexandre Letellier G
20 Magnar Odegaard D
2 Bart Straalman D
6 Nicolai Naess D
77 Amin Askar M
8 Matti Lund Nielsen M
17 Kristoffer Zachariassen M
16 Joachim Thomassen M
7 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen F
45 Jörgen Strand Larsen F
11 Jonathan Lindseth F
Bench (7)
31 Aslak Falch
44 Mate Maleš
15 Gaute Hoberg Vetti
13 Mario Pavelić
88 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
26 Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly
28 Alexander Ruud Tveter

Coach: G. Bakke

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
2 Vegar Eggen Hedenstad D
4 Tore Reginiussen D
16 Even Hovland D
3 Birger Meling D
7 Mike Jensen M
8 Anders Konradsen M
15 Anders Trondsen M
11 Yann-Erik de Lanlay F
14 Alexander Søderlund F
28 Samuel Adegbenro F
Bench (7)
24 Arild Østbø
19 Gustav Valsvik
22 Gjermund Aasen
5 Đorđe Denić
10 Pål André Helland
17 Babajide David Akintola
35 Emil Konradsen Ceide

Coach: E. Horneland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.