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Eliteserien

Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas

Stromsgodset

T S T T U

1–2

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

21 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 11. · Sarpsborg 08 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	9	8	1	0	+14	25
2	Rosenborg	8	4	3	1	+7	15
3	Valerenga	9	4	3	2	+2	15
4	Molde	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Haugesund	8	4	2	2	+3	14
6	Ranheim	8	4	2	2	+1	14
7	Odd	8	4	1	3	+2	13
8	Tromso	8	3	2	3	+2	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	4	2	+1	10
10	Kristiansund	8	2	4	2	+0	10
11	Stromsgodset	8	2	3	3	+2	9
12	Lillestrom	8	2	1	5	-4	7
13	Stabaek	8	1	4	3	-6	7
14	Bodo/Glimt	8	1	3	4	-5	6
15	Sandefjord	9	1	2	6	-9	5
16	Start	9	1	1	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Tromso	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Odd	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Molde	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Rosenborg	4	2	2	0	+6	8
6	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Ranheim	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Lillestrom	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Kristiansund	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Stromsgodset	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	Stabaek	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Valerenga	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Haugesund	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Start	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Sandefjord	5	0	2	3	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Valerenga	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Haugesund	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Rosenborg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Ranheim	4	2	1	1	-2	7
6	Molde	4	1	2	1	-3	5
7	Stromsgodset	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Kristiansund	4	0	3	1	-1	3
9	Odd	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Sandefjord	4	1	0	3	-6	3
11	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	Bodo/Glimt	4	0	2	2	-3	2
13	Stabaek	5	0	2	3	-7	2
14	Start	4	0	1	3	-6	1
15	Tromso	4	0	1	3	-7	1
16	Lillestrom	4	0	0	4	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.