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Championship
Referee: Keith Hill
QPR
T U S S S
1–2
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,6
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,6
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match QPR 3. · Nott'm Forest 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 5 4 1 0 +4 13
2 Hull 5 3 1 1 +4 10
3 QPR 5 3 1 1 +2 10
4 Ipswich 6 3 1 2 -1 10
5 Reading 6 2 3 1 +5 9
6 Cardiff 5 2 3 0 +3 9
7 Middlesbrough 5 2 2 1 +4 8
8 Birmingham 4 2 2 0 +3 8
9 Charlton 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Burnley 5 2 2 1 +0 8
11 Leeds 5 1 4 0 +1 7
12 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 1 2 +1 7
13 Wolves 5 2 1 2 -1 7
14 Fulham 5 1 2 2 +0 5
15 Sheffield Weds 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Nott'm Forest 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Preston 5 1 2 2 -2 5
18 Brentford 4 1 1 2 -1 4
19 Derby 5 0 4 1 -1 4
20 Bristol City 5 1 1 3 -4 4
21 Blackburn 5 0 3 2 -2 3
22 Huddersfield 5 0 3 2 -3 3
23 Bolton 5 0 3 2 -4 3
24 Rotherham 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

QPR Nott'm Forest
James Perch 🟨
21′
G. Hall 🔁
↦ G. Angella
32′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Ward
↦ T. Walker
52′
🔁 K. Ebecilio
↦ M. Mancienne
1–0 C. Austin
T. Chery
65′
69′
🔁 Nélson Oliveira
↦ K. Ebecilio
Robert Green 🟥
72′
A. Smithies 🔁
↦ M. Luongo
73′
75′
H. Lansbury 1–1
82′
Nélson Oliveira 1–2
Ryan Mendes
B. Gladwin 🔁
↦ D. Tőzsér
86′
88′
🟨 Henri Lansbury
90′
🟨 Chris O'Grady
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

QPR

1 R. Green G
15 P. Konchesky D
5 N. Onuoha D
24 J. Perch D
26 G. Angella D
28 D. Tőzsér
20 K. Henry M
8 T. Chery M
7 M. Phillips M
21 M. Luongo M
9 C. Austin F
Bench (7)
4 G. Hall
25 A. Smithies
11 B. Gladwin
6 C. Hill
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
16 M. Doughty
23 J. Hoilett

Nott'm Forest

1 D. de Vries G
4 M. Mancienne D
5 M. Mills D
6 K. Wilson D
2 E. Lichaj D
31 Dani Pinillos D
24 D. Vaughan M
10 H. Lansbury M
29 C. O'Grady F
15 Ryan Mendes M
34 T. Walker F
Bench (7)
19 J. Ward
14 K. Ebecilio
17 Nélson Oliveira
23 D. Blackstock
25 J. Hobbs
26 D. Evtimov
27 C. Burke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Keith Hill · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
0,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.