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Championship
Referee: Simon Hooper
QPR
T
2–2
Full-time
Cardiff
U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match QPR 22. · Cardiff 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 Brentford 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Charlton 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Ipswich 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Preston 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Milton Keynes Dons 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 Hull 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Nott'm Forest 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Burnley 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Derby 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Leeds 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Fulham 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Blackburn 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Huddersfield 2 0 1 1 -2 1
20 Bolton 2 0 1 1 -3 1
21 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 QPR 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Rotherham 2 0 0 2 -4 0
24 Bristol City 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

QPR Cardiff
1–0 C. Hill ⚽
M. Phillips
33′
Half-time 1–0
M. Doughty 🔁
↦ T. Chery
55′
2–0 C. Austin ⚽
C. Hill
56′
59′
🔁 K. Jones
↦ A. Revell
63′
⚽ S. Morrison 2–1
P. Whittingham
S. Polter 🔁
↦ C. Austin
68′
69′
🔁 C. Noone
↦ K. Dikgacoi
J. Emmanuel-Thomas 🔁
↦ B. Gladwin
76′
82′
🔁 Sammy Ameobi
↦ A. Pilkington
90′
⚽ S. Malone 2–2
J. Ralls
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

QPR

1 R. Green G
15 P. Konchesky D
5 N. Onuoha D
6 C. Hill D
24 J. Perch D
20 K. Henry M
8 T. Chery M
7 M. Phillips M
21 M. Luongo M
11 B. Gladwin M
9 C. Austin F
Bench (7)
16 M. Doughty
33 S. Polter
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
18 A. Faurlin
13 J. Lumley
42 C. Kpekawa
4 G. Hall

Cardiff

21 S. Moore G
16 M. Connolly D
2 L. Peltier D
4 S. Morrison D
28 S. Malone D
7 P. Whittingham M
15 K. Dikgacoi
13 A. Pilkington F
8 J. Ralls M
19 A. Revell F
10 J. Mason F
Bench (7)
9 K. Jones
11 C. Noone
38 Sammy Ameobi
18 E. Doyle
17 A. Gunnarsson
30 B. Wilson
3 Fábio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Simon Hooper · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.