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Bundesliga
Referee: Marco Fritz
6–2
Full-time
FC Koln
S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 13
11 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 7
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 11. · FC Koln 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 4 0 0 +10 12
3 Wolfsburg 4 2 2 0 +4 8
4 FC Koln 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Hertha 4 2 1 1 +0 7
6 FC Ingolstadt 04 4 2 1 1 -2 7
7 Mainz 3 2 0 1 +3 6
8 Darmstadt 4 1 3 0 +1 6
9 Hamburg 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Leverkusen 4 2 0 2 -2 6
11 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 1 1 +2 4
12 Schalke 04 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Werder Bremen 3 1 1 1 -2 4
14 Hoffenheim 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Augsburg 4 0 1 3 -3 1
16 Hannover 4 0 1 3 -6 1
17 Stuttgart 4 0 0 4 -7 0
18 M'gladbach 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt FC Koln
Marc Stendera 🟨
1′
1–0 A. Meier
A. Ignjovski
4′
2–0 L. Castaignos
M. Russ
15′
3–0 A. Meier
H. Seferović
23′
28′
A. Modeste 3–1
S. Zoller
4–1 L. Castaignos
M. Hasebe
30′
Half-time 4–1
49′
🔁 Y. Ōsako
↦ L. Bittencourt
49′
🔁 P. Hosiner
↦ S. Zoller
Stefan Reinartz 🟨
63′
5–1 H. Seferović
L. Castaignos
73′
78′
🔁 D. Švento
↦ A. Modeste
J. Flum 🔁
↦ L. Castaignos
81′
81′
D. Heintz 5–2
J. Hector
6–2 A. Meier
J. Flum
87′
V. Kadlec 🔁
↦ A. Meier
88′
89′
🟨 Jonas Hector
S. Medojević 🔁
↦ M. Stendera
90′
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

1 L. Hradecky G
4 M. Russ D
19 D. Abraham D
6 B. Oczipka M
14 A. Meier F
20 M. Hasebe D
7 S. Reinartz M
27 A. Ignjovski M
21 M. Stendera M
9 H. Seferović F
30 L. Castaignos F
Bench (7)
18 J. Flum
10 V. Kadlec
25 S. Medojević
15 C. Djakpa
16 S. Aigner
24 L. Waldschmidt
33 Y. Zummack

FC Koln

1 T. Horn G
16 P. Olkowski D
14 J. Hector M
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
33 M. Lehmann M
7 M. Risse M
6 K. Vogt D
21 L. Bittencourt M
27 A. Modeste F
11 S. Zoller F
Bench (7)
13 Y. Ōsako
15 P. Hosiner
29 D. Švento
5 D. Maroh
8 M. Jojić
31 Y. Gerhardt
37 D. Mesenhöler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Fritz · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.