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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
2–3
Full-time
QPR
T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Wolves 10. · QPR 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ipswich 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Brighton 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Milton Keynes Dons 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 0 +3 5
5 Charlton 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Preston 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Brentford 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Hull 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Wolves 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Nott'm Forest 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 Cardiff 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Derby 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Leeds 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Blackburn 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Burnley 3 0 2 1 -2 2
18 Huddersfield 3 0 2 1 -2 2
19 Fulham 2 0 1 1 -1 1
20 Reading 2 0 1 1 -1 1
21 QPR 2 0 1 1 -2 1
22 Rotherham 3 0 1 2 -4 1
23 Bolton 3 0 1 2 -4 1
24 Bristol City 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves QPR
1–0 B. Afobe
17′
2–0 K. McDonald
24′
38′
C. Austin 2–1
M. Phillips
Kortney Hause 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–1
A. Le Fondre 🔁
↦ N. Dicko
46′
52′
M. Phillips 2–2
J. Perch
61′
🟨 Nedum Onuoha
R. van La Parra 🔁
↦ J. Henry
63′
65′
🟨 Karl Henry
72′
M. Phillips 2–3
M. Luongo
Adam Le Fondre 🟨
75′
78′
🔁 M. Doughty
↦ T. Chery
89′
🔁 S. Polter
↦ A. Faurlin
Conor Coady 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Wolves

26 E. Martínez G
3 S. Golbourne D
5 R. Stearman D
16 C. Coady D
30 K. Hause D
18 D. Iorfa D
7 J. Henry M
4 D. Edwards M
11 K. McDonald M
9 N. Dicko F
10 B. Afobe F
Bench (7)
29 A. Le Fondre
17 R. van La Parra
1 C. Ikeme
2 M. Doherty
19 J. Price
20 S. Ojo
23 E. Ebanks-Landell

QPR

1 R. Green G
15 P. Konchesky D
5 N. Onuoha D
24 J. Perch D
4 G. Hall D
20 K. Henry M
8 T. Chery M
18 A. Faurlin M
7 M. Phillips M
21 M. Luongo M
9 C. Austin F
Bench (7)
16 M. Doughty
33 S. Polter
6 C. Hill
11 B. Gladwin
13 J. Lumley
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
23 J. Hoilett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.