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Premier League

Man United

S S U T

3–1

Full-time

Liverpool

S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Liverpool

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 13%

25%

Average goals

1,3

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 13%

25%

Average goals

1,3

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Man United 7. · Liverpool 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Arsenal	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	Crystal Palace	5	3	0	2	+2	9
4	Everton	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Leicester	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Swansea	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Man United	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Norwich	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Liverpool	4	2	1	1	-1	7
10	West Ham	4	2	0	2	+3	6
11	Southampton	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Watford	5	1	3	1	-1	6
13	West Brom	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Aston Villa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Bournemouth	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Chelsea	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Tottenham	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Newcastle	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Sunderland	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	Stoke	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Swansea	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Watford	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Leicester	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Man United	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Everton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Norwich	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Arsenal	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Southampton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Crystal Palace	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Tottenham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Chelsea	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Aston Villa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Bournemouth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Sunderland	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	West Brom	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Stoke	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	West Ham	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Crystal Palace	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Everton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Leicester	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Liverpool	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	West Brom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Southampton	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Norwich	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Bournemouth	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Chelsea	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Swansea	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Stoke	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Tottenham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Sunderland	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Watford	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.