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Pro League
Mechelen
T T S S U
2–2
Full-time
Westerlo
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
40%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 74%
80%
67%
Average goals
3,6
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
40%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 74%
80%
67%
Average goals
3,6
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mechelen 5. · Westerlo 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +7 12
3 Club Brugge 6 3 1 2 +8 10
4 St Truiden 6 3 1 2 +3 10
5 Mechelen 5 2 1 2 -2 7
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 2 1 4 -3 7
7 Genk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Gent 4 1 3 0 +1 6
9 Beveren 4 2 0 2 -3 6
10 Charleroi 4 1 2 1 -1 5
11 Westerlo 6 1 2 3 -4 5
12 Waregem 3 1 0 2 +0 3
13 Kortrijk 4 0 3 1 -1 3
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 1 0 3 -4 3
15 Standard 3 1 0 2 -6 3
16 Lokeren 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Westerlo
1–0 N. Verdier
L. Paulussen
15′
Half-time 1–0
J. Naessens 🔁
↦ N. Verdier
65′
J. Vanlerberghe 🔁
↦ S. Hanni
70′
70′
🔁 M. Aoulad
↦ R. Lecomte
70′
🔁 N. Schouterden
↦ J. Mustoe
74′
J. Vanlerberghe 2–0
own goal
3–0 S. De Witte
D. Veselinović
75′
82′
E. Višņakovs 3–1
J. Cools
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
4 S. De Witte
2 L. Paulussen
15 E. Cocalić
33 M. Kosanović
94 S. Hanni
20 J. Van Damme
11 M. Rits
77 G. Claes
9 D. Veselinović
99 N. Verdier
Bench (7)
31 J. Naessens
30 J. Vanlerberghe
3 V. Volkov
7 T. Matthys
8 R. Leal
12 S. De Petter
32 C. Coosemans

Westerlo

30 K. Van Langendonck
5 N. Petković
2 M. Apau
24 J. Cools
17 K. Schuermans
22 G. Ruyssen
6 K. Hyland
7 R. Lecomte
16 J. Mustoe
90 E. Višņakovs
12 F. Gounongbe
Bench (7)
14 M. Aoulad
18 N. Schouterden
1 K. Van Hout
4 J. Trompet
9 J. Koffi
19 A. Verschueren
23 J. Molenberghs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.