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Conference League
Referee: I Frid
Hacken
U U T T T
1–1
Full-time
AEK Larnaca
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hacken AEK Larnaca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
67%
25%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,3
1,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,11 xG 0,80
59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Hacken AEK Larnaca
30′
🟨 Riad Bajić
Half-time 0–0
Adam Lundqvist 🟨
62′
S. Ngabo 🔁
↦ I. Brusberg
62′
65′
⚽ F. Helander 1–0
own goal
68′
🟨 Giorgos Naoum
74′
🔁 E. Cabrera
↦ R. Bajic
75′
🔁 Jimmy Suarez
↦ G. Naoum
J. Hammar 🔁
↦ A. Svanback
78′
B. Wembangomo 🔁
↦ J. Lindberg
78′
S. Leach 🔁
↦ M. Lode
78′
84′
🔁 A. Garcia
↦ Miramon
90′
🔁 W. Rubio
↦ D. Ivanovic
2–0 J. Hammar ⚽
S. Andersen
90′
91′
🔁 V. Roberge
↦ E. Saborit
95′
🟨 Godswill Ekpolo
96′
🟨 Pere Pons
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hacken

4-2-3-1
99 E. Berisha G
11 J. Lindberg D
4 M. Lode D
22 F. Helander D
21 A. Lundkvist D
8 S. Andersen M
14 S. Gustafson M
20 A. Svanback M
10 M. Rygaard M
24 A. Layouni M
39 I. Brusberg F
Bench (12)
1 A. Linde
32 O. Jansson
3 J. Hammar
5 B. Wembangomo
7 S. Ngabo
15 S. Leach
16 P. Dahbo
18 D. Al Saed
19 J. Dembe
23 O. Samuelsson
29 S. Nioule
44 H. Hilvenius

Coach: Jens Gustafsson

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Alomerovic G
22 G. Ekpolo D
15 H. Milicevic D
4 E. Saborit D
93 J. Gnali D
7 Ledes Gustavo M
17 P. Pons M
21 Miramon M
29 G. Naoum M
9 D. Ivanovic M
11 R. Bajic F
Bench (10)
99 D. Demetriou
2 P. Ioannou
6 Jimmy Suarez
10 W. Rubio
14 A. Garcia
19 K. Angielski
27 V. Roberge
30 E. Cabrera
36 C. Loukaidis
41 Mathias Gonzalez

Coach: Imanol Idiakez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Frid · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.