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Conference League
Referee: J Beaton
Apoel Nicosia
S S S U U
0–2
Full-time
Celje
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Apoel Nicosia Celje
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,3
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/9 matches
Win Ø 38%
43%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
43%
78%
Both score Ø 75%
71%
78%
Average goals
2,4
4,0
Scored
1,4
2,1
Conceded
1,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,25 xG 1,98
51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Feb -25 Celje – Apoel Nicosia 2–2

Match report

Apoel Nicosia Celje
Konstantinos Laifis 🟨
7′
Sergio Tejera 🟨
17′
19′
🟨 Mark Zabukovnik
P. Kattirtzis 🔁
↦ D. Abagna
31′
Half-time 0–0
Stefan Drazic 🟨
49′
49′
⚽ A. Kučys 0–1
S. Sešlar
51′
⚽ T. Svetlin 0–2
S. Sešlar
Iván Alejo 🔁
↦ K. Sarfo
55′
73′
🔁 Edmilson
↦ A. Kučys
80′
🔁 M. Dulca
↦ M. Zabukovnik
85′
🟨 Svit Sešlar
M. Meyer 🔁
↦ Iván Alejo
86′
88′
🔁 M. Kvesić
↦ L. Delaurier-Chaubet
Mateo Sušić 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Mario Kvesić
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Apoel Nicosia

4-4-2
27 V. Belec G
28 K. Galanopoulos D
16 M. Sušić D
34 K. Laifis D
19 Xavi Quintillà D
17 D. Abagna M
44 K. Sarfo M
8 Sergio Tejera M
18 G. Satsias M
9 Y. El-Arabi F
20 S. Dražić F
Bench (10)
23 P. Kattirtzis
99 Iván Alejo
7 M. Meyer
94 P. Hadjipavlis
78 S. Michos
2 N. Lysandrou
90 V. Efthymiou
32 I. Avramidis
22 A. Christodoulou
91 N. Chattalas

Coach: Manolo Jiménez

Celje

4-1-4-1
41 Ricardo Silva G
2 Juanjo Nieto D
44 Ł. Bejger D
81 K. Nemanič D
23 Ž. Karničnik D
19 M. Zabukovnik M
7 A. Matko M
11 S. Sešlar M
35 L. Delaurier-Chaubet M
88 T. Svetlin M
47 A. Kučys F
Bench (7)
30 Edmilson
4 M. Dulca
16 M. Kvesić
3 D. Vukliševič
12 L. Kolar
10 N. Kouter
5 C. Lhernault

Coach: Albert Riera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.