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Conference League
Referee: A Lindhout
Jagiellonia
U S T S S
3–1
Full-time
TSC Backa Topola
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia TSC Backa Topola
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,3
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
57%
29%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
57%
86%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,7
3,9
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
0,9
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,03 xG 0,63
37% Possession 63%
13 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 23
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Feb -25 TSC Backa Topola – Jagiellonia 1–3

Match report

Jagiellonia TSC Backa Topola
1–0 K. Hansen ⚽
Jesús Imaz
8′
17′
⚽ M. Lazetić 1–1
I. Milosavljević
Mateusz Skrzypczak 🟨
18′
25′
🟨 Milan Radin
Enzo Ebosse 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Petar Stanić
N. Wojtuszek 🔁
↦ M. Sáček
45′
Half-time 1–1
59′
🔁 D. Savič
↦ I. Milosavljević
2–1 Jesús Imaz ⚽
Miki Villar
70′
D. Churlinov 🔁
↦ Miki Villar
71′
O. Pietuszewski 🔁
↦ K. Hansen
71′
72′
🟨 Aleksa Pejić
2–2 V. Radojević ⚽
own goal
76′
77′
🔁 B. Sós
↦ P. Mboungou
77′
🔁 M. Pantović
↦ A. Pejić
T. Romanczuk 🔁
↦ Jesús Imaz
80′
L. Diaby-Fadiga 🔁
↦ Afimico Pululu
80′
80′
🔁 A. Stančić
↦ P. Stanić
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-4-2
50 S. Abramowicz G
16 M. Sáček D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
23 E. Ebosse D
44 João Moutinho D
20 Miki Villar M
31 L. Flach M
14 J. Kubicki M
99 K. Hansen M
11 Jesús Imaz F
10 Afimico Pululu F
Bench (11)
15 N. Wojtuszek
21 D. Churlinov
80 O. Pietuszewski
6 T. Romanczuk
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga
86 B. Mazurek
51 A. Rybak
1 M. Stryjek
5 C. Polak
3 D. Stojinović
82 Tomás Silva

Coach: A. Siemieniec

TSC Backa Topola

4-3-3
12 V. Ilić G
22 Stefan Jovanović D
25 M. Đorđević D
32 M. Degenek D
60 V. Radojević D
6 A. Pejić M
7 M. Rádin M
14 P. Stanić M
11 I. Milosavljević F
9 M. Lazetić F
29 P. Mboungou F
Bench (9)
21 D. Savič
88 B. Sós
27 M. Pantović
16 A. Stančić
4 V. Krstić
5 D. Stevanović
23 N. Jorgić
35 D. Trajkovic
1 N. Simić

Coach: J. Damjanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.