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Europa League
Referee: A Taylor
Galatasaray
T S S T S
2–2
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
89%
56%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,4
3,4
Scored
2,2
1,9
Conceded
2,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,93 xG 3,20
65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 26
9 Shots on target 11
6 Blocked shots 7
8 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Feb -25 AZ Alkmaar – Galatasaray 4–1 28. Nov -24 AZ Alkmaar – Galatasaray 1–1

Match report

Galatasaray AZ Alkmaar
12′
🔁 Z. Buurmeester
↦ S. Mijnans
42′
⚽ S. Maikuma 0–1
Half-time 0–1
K. Demirbay 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
46′
M. Baltacı 🔁
↦ D. Sánchez
46′
46′
🔁 D. Kasius
↦ M. Lahdo
55′
⚽ D. Kasius 0–2
1–2 V. Osimhen ⚽
L. Torreira
56′
B. Kutlu 🔁
↦ L. Torreira
61′
61′
🔁 K. Smit
↦ K. Belić
Elias Jelert 🟨
65′
2–2 R. Sallai ⚽
B. Yılmaz
70′
Y. Demir 🔁
↦ Gabriel Sara
73′
B. Luş 🔁
↦ V. Osimhen
80′
87′
🔁 M. de Wit
↦ D. Møller Wolfe
87′
🔁 I. Sadiq
↦ T. Parrott
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-4-2
19 G. Güvenç G
26 C. Cuesta D
6 D. Sánchez D
42 A. Bardakcı D
24 E. Jelert D
53 B. Yılmaz M
34 L. Torreira M
20 Gabriel Sara M
7 R. Sallai M
10 D. Mertens F
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (12)
8 K. Demirbay
90 M. Baltacı
18 B. Kutlu
30 Y. Demir
67 B. Luş
65 K. Subaşı
1 F. Muslera
50 J. Yılmaz
72 Ç. Balta
71 H. Turan
83 E. Akman
63 İ. Halidi

Coach: O. Buruk

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
16 S. Maikuma D
3 W. Goes D
5 Alexandre Penetra D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
6 P. Koopmeiners M
14 K. Belić M
21 E. Poku M
10 S. Mijnans M
23 M. Lahdo M
9 T. Parrott F
Bench (11)
28 Z. Buurmeester
30 D. Kasius
26 K. Smit
34 M. de Wit
11 I. Sadiq
4 B. Martins Indi
22 M. Dekker
37 R. Daal
78 S. van Duijn
12 H. Verhulst
41 J. Zoet

Coach: M. Martens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.